Middle East · resolved market
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a346e1f2811126111889f4ef103a8054b52d6b21c796e9ad9a4733f4200c3ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 5,072$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.71 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 50c | 4,896$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447.83 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 3,088$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.41 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca6e…46f2backed Yes | 11c | 3,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 1c | 2,543$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 70c | 2,254$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.37 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,187$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…f7a4backed Yes | 5c | 2,179$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 61 | 18%11 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…bc64backed No | 61c | 1,500$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 79c | 1,412$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.19 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 51c | 1,316$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.96 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 1,273$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…96c9backed Yes | 2c | 1,187$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…4a6ebacked Yes | 14c | 1,049$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5119…e038backed Yes | 25c | 1,043$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.02 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 25cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0faf…d0d9backed No | 72c | 954.59$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.47 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2d46backed Yes | 14c | 856.66$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe88…90f5backed Yes | 5c | 802.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6614…39cfbacked Yes | 27c | 749.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…316fbacked Yes | 6c | 709.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 65c | 705$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.5 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 638.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…62dbbacked Yes | 6c | 634.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…cbefbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed No | 58c | 527.64$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.58 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 4c | 507.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 51c | 487.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 15c | 450$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 41c | 400$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…340cbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…9754backed Yes | 8c | 391.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 65c | 373.19$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02e…4cf2backed No | 61c | 354.45$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…d12cbacked Yes | 3c | 339.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 56c | 318.61$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 8c | 307.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 53c | 302.66$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.04 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…ccc5backed No | 53c | 299.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed No | 64c | 296.67$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eed…73d0backed No | 59c | 295.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 30c | 268.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d3…4cb9backed No | 77c | 255.52$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 59c | 247.25$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.79 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 38c | 237.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 52c | 232.12$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.53 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc75…b64dbacked No | 73c | 210$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 39c | 201.28$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…1026backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6b…916abacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked No | 74c | 193$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…592dbacked Yes | 55c | 181.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 77c | 181.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f93…0b9abacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…9e9abacked No | 55c | 173.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 34c | 162.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 34c | 160.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.29 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked No | 65c | 160.32$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…ce05backed Yes | 10c | 157.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d73…d915backed Yes | 37c | 152.82$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 152.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 67c | 128.08$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ad…28a3backed No | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac5…28d4backed No | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…77fbbacked Yes | 43c | 115$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…ee16backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 50c | 110.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cd…f8d7backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -82%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 47c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a4…996dbacked No | 66c | 91.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…8028backed Yes | 50c | 86.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 21c | 82.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68b7…c0bcbacked No | 56c | 77.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 68c | 76.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…57bbbacked Yes | 48c | 73.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5125…601abacked Yes | 51c | 60.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 39c | 58.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 64c | 55.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515a…269abacked Yes | 73c | 55.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0247…8a56backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…b1d3backed Yes | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a85…a309backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…2c34backed No | 65c | 46.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4aeebacked Yes | 38c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d92…e287backed No | 55c | 36.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb3…5297backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…9bafbacked Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…9fbebacked No | 62c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…8defbacked Yes | 44c | 30.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…cefdbacked Yes | 40c | 30.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…dddcbacked Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 39c | 28.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce7…f553backed No | 69c | 28.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4293…9d3ebacked No | 71c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…94a3backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…d2f2backed Yes | 47c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.