TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc34a…6007

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
428
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 57 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT21160.7%128 W · 83 L+14.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 211 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.96
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$132.18
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45.14
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.57
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.31
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$84.4
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.14
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$237.72
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$129.2
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.68
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$22.5
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,077Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,076.74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$116
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$422Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+137%+$578
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.89
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$64.11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$801.99
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$38.59
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$97.4
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$28.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$107.15
Showing 25 of 211 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST5759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by December 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.11
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.65
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$953.89
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+64.9%+$123.95
Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Zohran Mamdani praise Donald Trump on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.52
Will Zohran Mamdani disparage Donald Trump on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+33.4%+$29.47
Will Trump praise Zohran Mamdani on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+51.5%+$27.2
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+92.2%+$29.9
U.S. Closes Airspace due to Government Shutdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+40.2%+$15.15
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.95
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+25.7%+$14.18
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$23.62
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+130.8%+$107.26
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$19.5
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,423Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$420.18
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$68.61
Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$65.76
Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$12.8
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+96.2%+$37.89
Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+29%+$52.92
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$25.69
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+60.2%+$135.21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$233
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.7
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46%+$9.45
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$173.63
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Zelenskyy meet with Netanyahu in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.03
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$41.89
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$244.43
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$8.41
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+300%+$30
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.3%+$68.3
Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday at least 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+25%+$20.33
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+42.6%+$283.55
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.44
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.06
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$498.31
Trump x Putin talk by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$14.1
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$119.38
Will Putin meet with Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+37.1%+$49.05
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2634.6%9 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 60 and 70?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$198.77
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.3
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05-1.09ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+286%+$151.05
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.17ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+133.2%+$25.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.13-1.17ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT+200.9%+$571.57
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.32
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.06
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.75
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.22ºC in April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.93
2025 April hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.27-1.31ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$238.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$627.52
Will global temperature increase by between 1.22-1.26ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.63
Will global temperature increase by between 1.32-1.36ºC in March 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$588Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2025, EDT+137.4%+$808.73
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25-1.29ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+79.3%+$230.67
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20-1.24ºC in February 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.6
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+93.8%+$307.48
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 40-41°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+100%+$10
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.78
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 47-48°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST+39.2%+$51.2
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 45-46°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2025, EST-100%-$34.13
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.95
Will Catherine Trautmann be the next mayor of Strasbourg?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$68.11
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$29
U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,065.77
Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+48.5%+$180.23
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.5
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+30.2%+$40.6
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+56.1%+$45.17
Next French Prime Minister appointed by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+77.9%+$11.82
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.59
North Korea missile test by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+273.5%+$186.72
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.51
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$102.06
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.3
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Will Trudeau resign by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+84.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+60%+$286.06
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$31.3
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+62.3%+$41.75
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+72.2%+$255
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+57.3%+$54.62
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$12.7
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$175.88
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$106.85
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+1,595.2%+$1,962.84
Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$64
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+39.1%+$154.41
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.34
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+31.1%+$71.33
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$452.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.25–3.50 in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37.5%+$119.5
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.79
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+304.6%+$176.92
Will a dozen eggs be between $4.00-4.25 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.42
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$211.76
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.61
Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+453.7%+$302.18
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$97.9
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.94
Will egg prices be between $5.75 and $6.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$582.25
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+77.9%+$387.62
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$360.53
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$134.44
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$150.57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.3%+$463.18
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.6%+$62.65
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+32%+$94.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.97
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+109.9%+$123.05
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.19
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.8%+$65.07
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37%+$11.43
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+28.5%+$11.1
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$133.03
Will DeepSeek still be #1 Free app on Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-31.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.08
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$32.7
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.8
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$92
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$32.2
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rihanna Baby: Boy or Girl?backed Girl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$37.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+47.2%+$9.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$98.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Marseille finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.