Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7f97d4107a6b724a4f5bff30dd2821841a6e025ee61eae84cc9e3facf40349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $241,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $226,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 16,710$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 310 | 3.9%12 W · 298 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked No | 3c | 16,081$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.16 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked No | 15c | 15,601$2,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,275 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 73c | 12,452$9,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,317.78 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3db…0f98backed No | 6c | 8,465$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.99 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked No | 6c | 8,384$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.44 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 75c | 5,161$3,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.52 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9f…9790backed No | 35c | 4,822$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.82 | 353 | 47%166 W · 187 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 5c | 4,674$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.1 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 4,130$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.81 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…e3f4backed No | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked No | 5c | 4,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.73 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf4…7021backed No | 4c | 3,848$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.02 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 3,334$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 6c | 3,333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.98 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed No | 4c | 3,144$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked No | 6c | 3,000$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 442 | 24.4%108 W · 334 L | +22.2wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…e2edbacked Yes | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.93 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 14c | 2,653$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…963bbacked No | 9c | 2,426$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed No | 13c | 2,338$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.57 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 287 | 34.5%99 W · 188 L | +21.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8992…40dbbacked No | 2c | 1,761$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 1,550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 228 | 2.6%6 W · 222 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2b…665abacked No | 57c | 1,500$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 30c | 1,427$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.12 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…3a1bbacked No | 20c | 1,202$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.49 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…133cbacked No | 22c | 1,113$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed No | 26c | 1,113$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 22c | 1,111$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…b919backed No | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf807…c5dcbacked No | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 4c | 853.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…f868backed No | 24c | 712$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 4c | 660$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4656…41d7backed No | 7c | 593.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.34 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08e…2f7cbacked No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 29.1%52 W · 127 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4281…1a5abacked No | 6c | 438.77$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 77c | 399.99$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53e0…4466backed No | 47c | 303.96$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…e7ebbacked No | 7c | 303.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…b0e9backed Yes | 75c | 302$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed No | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 284 | 38.7%110 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 50c | 270$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed No | 8c | 258$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…2ff5backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed No | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…e569backed Yes | 58c | 217.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.31 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 6c | 215.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 32c | 214.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 10c | 211.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed Yes | 56c | 210.04$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db3…1d38backed No | 5c | 210$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -7.5wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…262dbacked No | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed Yes | 66c | 200$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…f70abacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 41c | 159.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed Yes | 59c | 157.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked Yes | 77c | 148.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded3…b253backed Yes | 77c | 148.49$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed Yes | 57c | 138.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed No | 22c | 126$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2c…dce3backed No | 11c | 124.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 108.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f0…df50backed Yes | 47c | 107.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bd…ceaabacked Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 215 | 37.7%81 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…cf4cbacked No | 37c | 84.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…fbf4backed Yes | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…7fc8backed No | 22c | 55.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -83.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…8f78backed Yes | 65c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 27c | 45.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -14.5wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…ef71backed No | 28c | 41.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…e6cfbacked Yes | 74c | 40.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac76…9359backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe428…50bfbacked Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…22c0backed Yes | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…5409backed Yes | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cd…6055backed Yes | 53c | 35.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 78c | 25.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x501b…fba0backed Yes | 79c | 25.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312a…66b8backed No | 42c | 24.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Yes | 78c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…6f86backed Yes | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…3d0fbacked Yes | 57c | 22.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc935…74cfbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9370…107abacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…dc6dbacked Yes | 57c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?this page
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.