TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$672,129
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$551,373

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $672,129 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5715…1616backed No9c16,957$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53611527%31 W · 84 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick20cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbd0…8c1cbacked No4c15,404$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.261533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked No5c15,015$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71013518.5%25 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-16%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed No1c13,526$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No9c12,963$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.197030%21 W · 49 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+250.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x2a3d…a325backed No1c12,853$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed No12c12,410$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.08520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-75%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9906…c0aebacked No10c12,350$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.745829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d9f…9790backed No40c12,316$4,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,880.2835347%166 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6992…6c1dbacked No20c11,800$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.522227%60 W · 162 L+17.8wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No10c11,728$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.119139.6%36 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x758c…074abacked No9c10,313$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.793016.7%5 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+82.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No15c9,652$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.41779.1%7 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd7f1…73cdbacked No9c9,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9956336.6%206 W · 357 L+44.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed No1c8,593$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.735071.4%7 W · 500 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08e…2f7cbacked No6c6,860$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8517929.1%52 W · 127 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes40c6,842$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,120.7642818.7%80 W · 348 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed No14c6,318$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.0919056.3%107 W · 83 L+16.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a23…0f72backed Yes79c6,219$4,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.2411323.9%27 W · 86 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed No2c6,112$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.648514.1%12 W · 73 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd59…0231backed No13c6,108$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d05…6a81backed No1c6,005$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2943212.5%54 W · 378 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed No16c5,744$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.9311859.3%70 W · 48 L+14.5wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xea83…5c8fbacked No66c5,685$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.066254.8%34 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+31.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0484…e0eebacked No9c5,478$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.610838%41 W · 67 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+62.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No2c5,394$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.693103.9%12 W · 298 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-32.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2598…40a3backed Yes64c5,320$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No22c5,161$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.1319739.1%77 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4c…d6a2backed No2c5,039$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004040%16 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No15c4,900$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72364339.3%253 W · 390 L-59.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No16c4,846$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.162729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf505…7a35backed No8c4,813$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.221040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd67b…5780backed No17c4,812$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.1738247.6%182 W · 200 L+37.1wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0130…274cbacked Yes33c4,649$1,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd426…334abacked No6c4,537$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.8136227.9%101 W · 261 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x697e…e3f4backed No10c4,409$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked No7c4,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28045843.7%200 W · 258 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x606f…1083backed No18c4,000$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.995646.4%26 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7678…22a3backed No11c3,969$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.171050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No0c3,800$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.22742.9%8 W · 266 L+0.5wins0.00per pick3cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed No73c3,685$2,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,684.8128750.2%144 W · 143 L-1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…e40bbacked No10c3,650$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3761050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No3c3,560$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10042329.1%123 W · 300 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1ea…18e7backed No12c3,395$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.71625%4 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed No7c3,311$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7220549.8%102 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe172…248abacked No2c3,241$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601266.7%8 W · 4 L+4.4wins+0.37per pick30cpaid+137.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6196…6208backed No8c3,005$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.24520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb045…c25abacked No10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+112%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes37c2,999$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,894.637856.4%44 W · 34 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+36.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed No9c2,965$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.897150.7%36 W · 35 L+11.2wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+94.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No7c2,750$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.485259.6%31 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7264…8583backed No9c2,720$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.391723.5%4 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.13per pick11cpaid+115%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb675…3d65backed Yes61c2,710$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked No50c2,701$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.411855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6022…d9a8backed No6c2,667$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43c7…8d31backed No1c2,567$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf192…6ee2backed No7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1754062.5%25 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+80.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c0c…fbb7backed No49c2,460$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.872850%14 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30db…33c0backed No4c2,383$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008829.5%26 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1245…e0afbacked No12c2,287$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x35bb…009bbacked No7c2,271$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9516553.9%89 W · 76 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4319…9158backed No11c2,265$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad52…11acbacked No13c2,252$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.2744224.4%108 W · 334 L+22.2wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed No9c2,251$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x683d…53efbacked No7c2,070$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.82520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa30e…f86fbacked No10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda8…6ca8backed No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205743.9%25 W · 32 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked No10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016041.9%67 W · 93 L+12.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d1…bf3cbacked No11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2b…665abacked Yes49c2,000$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf73f…ee53backed No5c2,000$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd87d…52f9backed No9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+54.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes49c1,886$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.0410240.2%41 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…2bbbbacked No5c1,871$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45fb…e179backed No1c1,820$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33e2…3a1bbacked Yes56c1,764$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.265736.8%21 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No4c1,714$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0911818.6%22 W · 96 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid-30.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c562backed No12c1,700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.82839.3%11 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+121.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fd6…963bbacked No10c1,689$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed No2c1,518$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.272282.6%6 W · 222 L+0.6wins0.00per pick2cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b47…30abbacked No9c1,500$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed No8c1,497$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7913441.8%56 W · 78 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88e2…7489backed No41c1,446$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.98633.7%29 W · 57 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e0…c9dabacked No11c1,408$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.81225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Yes59c1,400$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5741266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+82.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed Yes49c1,373$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.932958.6%17 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x836f…906ebacked Yes58c1,332$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.081392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.34per pick58cpaid+62.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xac42…60d1backed No2c1,331$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.893650%18 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3437…f8f3backed No27c1,300$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34715953.5%85 W · 74 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4656…41d7backed No13c1,260$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.781030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333a…bd76backed No8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002722.2%6 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick10cpaid+514.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No2c1,200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5342311.6%49 W · 374 L-2.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf27a…7b4dbacked No44c1,200$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.27875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc34a…6007backed No15c1,200$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.3121160.7%128 W · 83 L+14.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No4c1,181$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.281435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b04…6477backed No13c1,108$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb8…90e8backed No9c1,105$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa757…2e05backed No9c1,074$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x638d…3d87backed No53c1,068$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No9c1,058$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0621726.7%58 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.