Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a25fe1fd9931f272c2c63011f740eda697329f88939869c41794e51fef47789
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,979$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 3c | 2,480$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,915$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,883$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,370$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 507 | 1.4%7 W · 500 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 900.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.12 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked No | 45c | 882.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.67 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 20c | 801.13$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.96 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…c41cbacked Yes | 8c | 763.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8a20backed Yes | 8c | 589.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf711…eac5backed Yes | 2c | 514.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 5c | 486.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97cb…c910backed No | 56c | 485.31$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +250.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…fbb0backed No | 22c | 435.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 73c | 348.9$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +16.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed Yes | 37c | 307.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62da…326dbacked Yes | 4c | 292.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 21c | 256.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c9…5016backed Yes | 15c | 249.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 75c | 241.06$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 287 | 50.2%144 W · 143 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 29c | 136.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Yes | 12c | 133.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…8f40backed No | 76c | 114.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 27c | 112$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 70c | 107.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…5968backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.73 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x909f…431abacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes | 77c | 96.59$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb477…673ebacked Yes | 80c | 84.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…daeabacked No | 27c | 81.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.48 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…5797backed No | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked No | 22c | 57.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb5…8ab9backed No | 26c | 57.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ead…f333backed Yes | 79c | 49.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 46.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Yes | 78c | 41.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaff…e3adbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 79c | 38.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 71c | 35.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 75c | 29.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6a…97bebacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95cf…e7ddbacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 99 | 81.8%81 W · 18 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 49c | 20.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Yes | 78c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 79c | 15.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?this page
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.