Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf79fd6a93697b324dae34f0659213b5fc92fb06bc52bf0d708f823a98bd2042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 13c | 6,278$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.69 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 3,839$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.35 | 476 | 9.9%47 W · 429 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…4d59backed Yes | 2c | 3,597$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 1,797$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 15c | 1,723$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.53 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,513$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.26 | 234 | 20.9%49 W · 185 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,207$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,199$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 423 | 11.6%49 W · 374 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,183$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 358 | 8.7%31 W · 327 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1109…60c1backed Yes | 2c | 954.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 9c | 733$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 17c | 720.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.94 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 9c | 643.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8a20backed Yes | 4c | 520.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 58c | 499.58$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b8…11a5backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 33c | 394.31$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825c…dfa0backed Yes | 7c | 366.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…279fbacked Yes | 14c | 326.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 12c | 312.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…3a20backed No | 62c | 269$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.21 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…6cb6backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 6c | 185.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 217 | 26.7%58 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Yes | 26c | 150.01$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 33cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c97…fa05backed No | 53c | 139.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 8c | 126$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5a…aabebacked No | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…4b3cbacked No | 50c | 101$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 100.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57a2…e032backed Yes | 14c | 95.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7f…6413backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…d4a4backed Yes | 18c | 75.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 37c | 60.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 306 | 35.9%110 W · 196 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…162cbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +216%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 59c | 38.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed No | 74c | 30.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…9522backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 362 | 27.9%101 W · 261 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?this page
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.