Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8607b2b39a0e58eca5fb790ab3b6ca0e8d282d867a839bde04b77b212b071fec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe172…248abacked No | 5c | 3,983$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +137.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa50c…f75dbacked No | 8c | 2,592$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed No | 13c | 2,567$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed No | 9c | 1,737$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 423 | 29.1%123 W · 300 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 3c | 1,646$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed No | 1c | 1,438$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 85 | 14.1%12 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed No | 12c | 1,175$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 3c | 1,113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…b22dbacked No | 5c | 1,068$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +144.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed No | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked No | 2c | 824.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ee…7257backed No | 3c | 742.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…8c1cbacked No | 7c | 729.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked No | 3c | 718.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c58…1fc0backed No | 3c | 707.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6e…0f70backed No | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…aa93backed No | 2c | 581.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 7c | 520.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 197 | 39.1%77 W · 120 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef6…92e4backed No | 19c | 515.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…473ebacked No | 8c | 505.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0992…9f46backed No | 9c | 437.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…cb99backed No | 3c | 400.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 3c | 365.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | +12.1wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdf…a4cabacked No | 14c | 358.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked No | 10c | 308.21$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -88.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d8…daeabacked No | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 8c | 288.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 218 | 31.2%68 W · 150 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f56…2adcbacked No | 14c | 288.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…2592backed No | 7c | 281.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…10efbacked No | 15c | 249.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…33c0backed No | 8c | 248.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac2…d334backed No | 8c | 246.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec1c…91cabacked No | 9c | 227.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f1…fc8bbacked No | 5c | 196.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc4…be57backed No | 6c | 169.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…fa56backed No | 19c | 130.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed No | 19c | 127.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6206…955abacked No | 47c | 52.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 28, 2026?this page
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026?Yes won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 20, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?No won
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.