TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Middle East · resolved market

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,454
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,013

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,454 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Middle East
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes11c6,718$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.8342818.7%80 W · 348 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes1c6,596$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.992742.9%8 W · 266 L+0.5wins0.00per pick3cpaid-58.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes8c5,433$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.4235921.4%77 W · 282 L-23.8wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes15c3,455$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.8621726.7%58 W · 159 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0b9…74d8backed Yes1c2,510$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd6…ce91backed Yes27c2,301$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.5960%0 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,107$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.015071.4%7 W · 500 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97cb…c910backed No63c2,014$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.417030%21 W · 49 L+10.8wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+250.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes1c2,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53588.7%31 W · 327 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick6cpaid+99.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb01…e156backed Yes1c2,000$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+27.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb675…3d65backed No60c1,964$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdd…8370backed No73c1,822$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.0319056.3%107 W · 83 L+16.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+34.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c1,556$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.021,5587.2%112 W · 1,446 L-35.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked Yes8c1,409$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.642729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes19c1,200$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4542311.6%49 W · 374 L-2.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9ea…52aebacked Yes10c1,155$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes15c1,059$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3436634.4%126 W · 240 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a83…4c59backed Yes3c1,000$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242738.9%166 W · 261 L+30.7wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe349…4708backed Yes9c992$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de4…38edbacked Yes8c989$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc388…f40dbacked Yes8c986.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fdd…c906backed Yes7c983$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab9…563bbacked Yes10c950$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cc…4dd6backed Yes9c920$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ce…fc1dbacked Yes8c920$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ed…27e3backed Yes7c917$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e4…9021backed Yes7c917$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc04…9618backed Yes7c903$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe018…3d94backed Yes8c902.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff6…c098backed Yes10c899$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fd…66bbbacked Yes8c899$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e7…5797backed Yes8c868$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4268…376fbacked Yes8c868$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…f295backed No60c830.56$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.562128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+45.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88be…4d62backed Yes9c779$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d4…1d88backed Yes7c763$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e87…1bbfbacked Yes7c763$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3762…ede9backed Yes7c763$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f9d…1892backed Yes7c763$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa32d…777fbacked No69c716.97$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.97450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…ffa6backed Yes6c700$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424119.5%8 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c92…9627backed No15c653.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.243225%8 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1086…27d2backed Yes37c600$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2221030%3 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick18cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3ba…95e2backed Yes4c499.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-64%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8a20backed Yes31c476.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6de9…752abacked No68c469.42$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.422259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb593…1dcabacked Yes13c375.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes20c364.11$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3458927.2%160 W · 429 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes3c333.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.91175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick14cpaid-88.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95e0…c9dabacked Yes3c312.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b73…174ebacked No7c291$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.631323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4b8…7bf1backed No65c281.74$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4111…93e1backed Yes10c260$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…525fbacked Yes40c253.15$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.261060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9668…c60bbacked Yes8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0777…4b7fbacked Yes9c237.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.454320.9%9 W · 34 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes36c223.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2e…162cbacked Yes45c221.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick31cpaid+216%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9c7…7e61backed Yes15c218.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ac…6ff2backed Yes14c212$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes9c204.83$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5bb5…8ab9backed No13c201.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.222642.3%11 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26b1…cc81backed No80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-82.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a9…78ebbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…9602backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1254%1 W · 24 L-5.9wins-0.24per pick28cpaid-83.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes46c178.39$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4818338.3%70 W · 113 L+14.5wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f71…4e83backed Yes39c166.56$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.961822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59ad…0cf2backed Yes18c162.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb17d…59aebacked No73c156$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.67948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9986…27aebacked Yes8c125.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010141.6%42 W · 59 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d8…daeabacked No15c124.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.542065%13 W · 7 L+6.4wins+0.32per pick33cpaid+166.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x945a…9061backed No11c119.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.79475%3 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.40per pick35cpaid+224.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.319449.5%96 W · 98 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8545…22bbbacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed No12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8828734.5%99 W · 188 L+21.3wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d48…678cbacked No22c80$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.84944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed No73c68.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.664557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes19c67.2$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6321831.2%68 W · 150 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc70…2194backed No68c58.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.53745.9%17 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x768f…c7bdbacked No71c43.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.647856.4%44 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes32c32.96$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6779.1%7 W · 70 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick19cpaid-73.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d27…6e05backed No69c29.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.15666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked No51c23.66$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6915347.1%72 W · 81 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No72c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.899981.8%81 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.10per pick72cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6566…ea1ebacked No80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa02…5b9abacked Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd012…1d4fbacked No72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec5…b6febacked No80c14.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.9412362.6%77 W · 46 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.