TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6c92…9627

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10527.6%29 W · 76 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,270.88
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$619.42
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$820
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.29
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$507.62
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$130.34
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.59
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+900%+$279
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$136.34
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.82
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$440.69
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3225%8 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+355.4%+$355.45
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$530
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+553.2%+$553.24
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+577.1%+$3,693.33
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+619.4%+$2,229.81
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$870
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+154%+$554.25
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-65.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.84
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+77%+$277.22
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$125.08
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$277
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MH Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$349.41
Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$238.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$202.98
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no Likud party primary by the next Knesset Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.