Champions League · resolved market
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7448df104d7e9fed420cf46d962d8b55806e00611327a2bd0dbd50e8fa6d957c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,862
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 2,726$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.47 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 71c | 1,906$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.83 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 1,818$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.35 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 884.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c2…b4f4backed No | 72c | 589.36$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c5…1f4cbacked No | 72c | 505.38$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…9627backed Yes | 39c | 461.54$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 409.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Yes | 22c | 405$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…9c34backed Yes | 29c | 399.66$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Yes | 27c | 348.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 344.46$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.89 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a8…aec0backed No | 72c | 318.08$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 16c | 302.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 40c | 281.25$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 72c | 269$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 219.95$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed No | 54c | 214.13$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…2d68backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 201.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 193.4$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 56c | 173.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…8953backed Yes | 9c | 169.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…1f93backed No | 72c | 163.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…1691backed No | 72c | 158.94$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 70c | 156.61$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd457…9d8abacked No | 72c | 156.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 62c | 122.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 36c | 102.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cd…f455backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 94.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…6fb2backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 13c | 86.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…eb15backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 23c | 82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 71c | 73.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked No | 71c | 70.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed No | 64c | 69.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Yes | 28c | 64.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 63.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…27bfbacked No | 72c | 58.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 55.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 55.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x593d…b54bbacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0a…e482backed No | 58c | 50.71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 50c | 50.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 382 | 53.9%206 W · 176 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c0…a298backed No | 50c | 49.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 57c | 46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed Yes | 34c | 46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 36c | 45.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 77c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 52c | 37.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 212 | 17%36 W · 176 L | -37.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 65c | 35.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 30c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 51c | 27.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…de4fbacked No | 72c | 25.56$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 76cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0b08backed No | 71c | 25.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 56c | 19.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK end in a draw?this page
- Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
- Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.