TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13c0…a298

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Mls, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT6944.9%31 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Bernard Tomic vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Gonzalo Bueno vs Billy Harrisbacked Billy Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+118.9%+$23.78
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.45
Cincinnati Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Sara Bejlekbacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+225.5%+$26.29
Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs Paulbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobollibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Set 2 Winner: Jodar vs Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$19.6
Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+150.9%+$33.15
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$31.82
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$27.9
Cincinnati Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Filsbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Set 2 Winner: Rinderknech vs Cerundolobacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norriebacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Denis Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.64
Set 1 Winner: Djokovic vs Tirantebacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$7.97
Cincinnati Open: Sloane Stephens vs Sinja Krausbacked Sinja Kraus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+189.1%+$66.19
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5)backed Botafogo FR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$12.66
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.9%+$26.63
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.7%+$14.63
Will CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$35.36
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
All 14 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+108.6%+$55.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Velada del Año 6 Edu Aguirre vs Gastón Edulbacked Aguirre · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSV win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Legacy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.