UFC · resolved market
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d8925e0ce6331a55a8f983473007663ebbad0e97bd68d205d66a60b76cfedbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mackenzie Dernof Mackenzie Dern, Gillian Robertson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,695,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,051,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,695,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 544 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Gillian Robertson | 35c | 1,367,492$484,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484,297.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Mackenzie Dern | 66c | 381,626$251,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,865.06 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 260,000$166,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,600 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 211,596$135,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,174.61 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 100,000$65,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,000 | 130 | 39.2%51 W · 79 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 82,218$53,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,943.31 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…2658backed Mackenzie Dern | 71c | 57,921$41,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,888.48 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Gillian Robertson | 10c | 55,222$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.2 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c9…396dbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 37,529$24,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,135.07 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 30,907$11,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,108.36 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Gillian Robertson | 35c | 30,600$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3c…e7cbbacked Gillian Robertson | 35c | 29,141$10,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.23 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 27,000$17,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,760.05 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mackenzie Dern | 66c | 24,434$16,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,206.09 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 16,617$10,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,815.95 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Mackenzie Dern | 68c | 15,140$10,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,825.58 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Gillian Robertson | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 15,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Gillian Robertson | 9c | 14,520$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.2 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 13,171$8,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,781 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc6…9889backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 13,000$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Gillian Robertson | 8c | 12,950$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…5ac7backed Mackenzie Dern | 66c | 12,500$8,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38fb…d07cbacked Gillian Robertson | 7c | 11,429$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +401.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Gillian Robertson | 35c | 11,040$3,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,863.98 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…39a5backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 9,500$6,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,365 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…0443backed Gillian Robertson | 34c | 8,547$2,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,906.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 8,250$5,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 7,992$5,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.91 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Gillian Robertson | 32c | 7,870$2,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,494.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Mackenzie Dern | 71c | 7,868$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 7,500$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 7,481$2,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,693.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 7,469$4,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,614.1 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 6,850$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Gillian Robertson | 35c | 6,778$2,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 6,564$4,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.04 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 5,482$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.52 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 5,444$3,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 5,288$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.39 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ba…1883backed Gillian Robertson | 14c | 5,117$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…2e90backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 5,042$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0385…acafbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 5,000$3,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Mackenzie Dern | 63c | 4,719$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.98 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Gillian Robertson | 2c | 4,210$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaef…2665backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 3,823$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 3,600$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 3,277$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.71 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gillian Robertson | 6c | 3,259$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.48 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 3,234$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.38 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…10f5backed Gillian Robertson | 28c | 3,222$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Gillian Robertson | 11c | 3,194$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…49e6backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 3,070$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.08 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Gillian Robertson | 20c | 3,035$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f5…e4c2backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,997$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.05 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Gillian Robertson | 36c | 2,929$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.56 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Gillian Robertson | 8c | 2,793$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Mackenzie Dern | 75c | 2,771$2,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.49 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…d384backed Gillian Robertson | 7c | 2,679$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…8618backed Gillian Robertson | 12c | 2,611$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.77 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a8…68a2backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 2,600$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 2,557$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Gillian Robertson | 11c | 2,500$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 263 | 52.1%137 W · 126 L | +23.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…a7e4backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 2,446$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Gillian Robertson | 13c | 2,400$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,277$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38d…eb9abacked Gillian Robertson | 10c | 2,156$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.63 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Gillian Robertson | 10c | 2,100$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d5…2ec4backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,077$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…21edbacked Gillian Robertson | 2c | 2,063$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.45per pick | 43cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Gillian Robertson | 37c | 2,045$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.54 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…96c6backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…bdefbacked Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,923$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.08 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,875$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Gillian Robertson | 31c | 1,820$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819d…6e9cbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,797$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Gillian Robertson | 11c | 1,742$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,665$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0d…f8bebacked Gillian Robertson | 37c | 1,649$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2931…7b81backed Gillian Robertson | 15c | 1,632$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…e225backed Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,613$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Gillian Robertson | 30c | 1,561$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…d535backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…b9f5backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,532$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,507$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,500$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Mackenzie Dern | 70c | 1,430$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Mackenzie Dern | 70c | 1,426$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.58 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Mackenzie Dern | 65c | 1,407$915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Mackenzie Dern | 64c | 1,390$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 4.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Gillian Robertson win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Mackenzie Dern win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.