TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,100,995
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,233,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,100,995 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked No31c335,217$103,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103,917.321717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes69c285,979$196,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,054.183525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes68c173,055$117,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,518.3212050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No37c168,981$62,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,167.4714951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No30c127,637$38,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,347.117321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No31c96,037$29,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,781.775754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No34c82,353$28,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,085.075442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No41c59,993$24,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,838.283268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes68c45,882$31,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,455.15850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…6f49backed No29c42,000$12,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,179.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked No4c39,536$1,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.72825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ba6…644cbacked Yes69c37,681$26,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,681.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c27…b1babacked No33c36,364$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No33c35,347$11,578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,577.571,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c30,086$18,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.84,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95c1…94d7backed Yes65c28,661$18,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,953.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes69c26,588$18,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,314.8219840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes71c24,691$17,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,160.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No31c24,305$7,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,534.545337.7%20 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbba2…24febacked Yes69c23,448$16,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,268.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Yes76c23,371$17,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,691.67944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe12c…e7c7backed Yes76c17,787$13,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,203.88862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes62c17,467$10,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,691.8956439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x620b…2e9fbacked No31c17,000$5,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,269.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes48c16,324$7,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,488.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+107.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes69c16,145$11,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,016.3543439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.988828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No31c15,000$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,649.966746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Yes61c14,787$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,766.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes69c13,927$9,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,356.445147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No32c13,592$4,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,340.2810943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No31c12,870$3,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,989.76243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No31c12,500$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,87524145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8813…47e6backed No32c12,390$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.88837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-47.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes57c12,215$7,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,206.7182844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes76c11,905$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.21875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd63…050fbacked No35c11,407$3,992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,992.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…ce20backed No42c10,207$4,331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,330.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No31c10,181$3,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.694663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-57.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Yes61c10,000$6,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,9002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.983647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98fe…ffa7backed Yes51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.924938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes43c9,270$3,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,306.882850%14 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes57c8,704$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes65c8,404$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.451353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5711…fbf5backed Yes69c8,127$5,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.318341%34 W · 49 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a22…7b00backed Yes71c8,023$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,326.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Yes63c7,961$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,961.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Yes63c7,276$4,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.023751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes69c7,086$4,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.2771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes67c6,993$4,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,282.353050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed Yes67c6,734$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.191050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No32c6,717$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.1611849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No32c6,529$2,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.3650249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes50c6,500$3,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2551100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes67c6,495$4,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.126740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No30c6,064$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes45c5,917$2,665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.123,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes48c5,714$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.21540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes69c5,601$3,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.2515459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Yes25c5,567$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,182.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+302.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x578a…c93ebacked Yes68c5,556$3,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes67c5,537$3,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.5715646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes67c5,263$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,762.53333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked No43c5,058$2,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,152.04966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed Yes61c5,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9501154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.9814348.3%69 W · 74 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c6…0d13backed Yes62c4,822$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,822.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes69c4,815$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.619133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7618…24c6backed Yes53c4,717$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.98540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No40c4,704$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.821,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a8a…718dbacked No15c4,595$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-43.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580e…88c8backed Yes62c4,581$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes67c4,408$2,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.9168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed No6c4,401$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.731533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes67c4,390$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.413243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6876…8dc9backed Yes69c4,326$2,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.96250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No32c4,253$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3613135.5%11 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes61c4,246$2,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.5533734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No36c4,184$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.7333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad08…c58bbacked Yes68c4,085$2,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,310.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Yes69c4,026$2,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed No33c4,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes68c3,966$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.9822859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3cea…e48ebacked No35c3,860$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.23922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-67.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No32c3,781$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.0863757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x780f…5f16backed Yes65c3,766$2,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Yes59c3,729$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,528.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No4c3,645$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.811040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+77.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a95…3a16backed Yes69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes55c3,604$1,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.7241351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Yes70c3,571$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.432100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+62.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Yes68c3,526$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No46c3,439$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,598.992853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked No33c3,350$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.54852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9817…5ff2backed Yes63c3,200$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked No2c3,062$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8853…c058backed Yes46c3,000$1,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.