TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb00c…dfa2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
123
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT9951.5%51 W · 48 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
US Open, Qualification ATP: Pedro Martinez vs Daniil Glinkabacked Pedro Martinez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US Open, Qualification ATP: Moise Kouame vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Augsburg: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Martin Krumichbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Augsburg: Kai Wehnelt vs Nick Hardtbacked Nick Hardt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garinbacked Spencer Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
US Open, Qualification ATP: Remy Bertola vs Alejandro Moro Canasbacked Alejandro Moro Canas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
US Open, Qualification ATP: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Aziz Dougazbacked Aziz Dougaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$886.79
Augsburg: Sandro Kopp vs Eduardo Ribeirobacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$470.46
Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Belluccibacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$492.54
Set Handicap: Rottgering (-1.5) vs Grenier (+1.5)backed Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Quebec City: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$950.51
Kingston 2: Enmanuel Munoz vs Thomas Fancuttbacked Enmanuel Munoz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Augsburg: Maximilian Marterer vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Maximilian Marterer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Augsburg: Denis Yevseyev vs Mirza Basicbacked Denis Yevseyev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69%+$689.56
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,040.82
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Gaston (+1.5)backed Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$343.7
Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+90.6%+$1,811.19
Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekhbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$591.95
Roehampton: Elmer Moeller vs Anton Matusevichbacked Anton Matusevich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$508.2
Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianubacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Quebec City: Jan Choinski vs Taro Danielbacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Prague 2: Filip Jianu vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+40.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$3,510.64
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lionel Messi: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+123.5%+$1,234.64
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+230.6%+$691.74
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$245.16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$666.67
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$120
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$639.34
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,200
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$851.85
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+143%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-49.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$319.57
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$416.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$481.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.