Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba7c7e0fe37c0e92a9d33e1228c5106d556a42b540f155055e0b26e50fa3dcba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,861
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,861 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Yes | 66c | 73,259$48,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,908.13 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 47,868$16,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,126.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 13,982$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.82 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 22c | 6,192$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.91 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 34c | 5,231$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.81 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 34c | 3,289$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.72 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 3,178$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.55 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 33c | 2,174$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed No | 6c | 2,069$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 74c | 1,898$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.81 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00c…dfa2backed Yes | 68c | 1,481$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 67c | 1,194$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.03 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 34c | 1,121$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.07 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 67c | 851.95$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 72c | 846.94$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.06 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 33c | 818.08$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.97 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 34c | 817.64$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 69c | 650$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.5 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 62c | 382$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.16 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 364.95$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 34c | 352.81$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.19 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 66c | 283$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.22 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 36c | 275.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 67c | 258.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.3 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked No | 40c | 257.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 34c | 238.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 34c | 220.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 34c | 215.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed No | 20c | 159.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 17c | 159.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 34c | 156$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 24c | 132.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 76c | 112.79$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 33c | 92.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed No | 35c | 86.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 64c | 71.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 67c | 69.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 65c | 67.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 65c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…ac03backed No | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked No | 24c | 62.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 68c | 59.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 76c | 52.59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 66c | 51.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 34c | 47.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x276a…6ecfbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 38c | 40.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…e43dbacked Yes | 66c | 37.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…a568backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c8…7f69backed Yes | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 37c | 31.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 38c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 35c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Yes | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed Yes | 64c | 30.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Yes | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…b507backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 67c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 76c | 16.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 80c | 14.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.