TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf33d…24ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
333
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT19432%62 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 194 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,017Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,016.86
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$970.91
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$480
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$820
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$250
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
76ers vs. Spursbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.93
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Mavericks vs. Nuggetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.92
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.45
Showing 25 of 194 picks, newest first.
Tweetslast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT7312.3%9 W · 64 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$340
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.37
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$233
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.1
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,490
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.99
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$237
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
France vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$64
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$812Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$812
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+239%+$141
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$430
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+400%+$400
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$315
Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$170
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$175
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,036
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$3,038.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$432
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+150%+$1,800
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+100%+$699.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$24.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$250
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-68.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$46.5
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$67.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$221.99
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,840Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+171.7%+$3,160
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$700
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs FlyQuest (BO3)backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.