Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f72e2af09127b4ffd41b7b83d2d6c92fd8238e638d1bfaacbbdae356b4bf720
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,551,512
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,628,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,551,512 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ace…c7b7backed Yes | 2c | 205,248$3,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 3c | 198,124$5,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,502.28 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…f966backed Yes | 6c | 173,109$10,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,161.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed No | 75c | 164,503$122,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,579.11 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 3c | 155,985$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 6c | 136,628$8,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,225.63 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…cbbebacked Yes | 1c | 135,222$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.3 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…3c45backed Yes | 27c | 129,778$35,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,303.38 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…d0cabacked Yes | 2c | 117,775$2,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,563.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…8720backed No | 60c | 111,027$66,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,310.82 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 62cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 105,102$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.77 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 71c | 101,703$72,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,270.59 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 94,851$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.17 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 6c | 80,187$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.76 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4af2…c0d6backed Yes | 5c | 80,116$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,164.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 28c | 72,065$20,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,410.94 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6d97backed Yes | 18c | 70,500$12,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 11c | 68,164$7,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,647.81 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 10c | 56,118$5,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,791.26 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x075e…1840backed Yes | 7c | 56,013$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.95 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e5…a18dbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 41c | 48,337$19,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,587.75 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9d…3480backed Yes | 32c | 46,477$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc2…2f88backed Yes | 0c | 44,900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 8c | 43,339$3,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,648.42 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 13c | 40,942$5,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,439 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 6c | 37,511$2,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,362.18 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d7…cf9bbacked Yes | 5c | 37,083$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 36,944$7,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,010.02 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x184b…bc39backed No | 80c | 35,847$28,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,260.83 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7277…ab80backed Yes | 7c | 35,777$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 29cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55dd…ee68backed Yes | 29c | 34,886$10,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,041.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 32,469$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed No | 74c | 29,623$21,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,766.66 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…07c0backed Yes | 17c | 28,749$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b48…ecadbacked Yes | 15c | 28,158$4,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.16 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 73c | 27,698$20,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,594.16 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…fc5bbacked Yes | 3c | 26,754$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…f268backed Yes | 16c | 26,500$4,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,341.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…3ad3backed Yes | 16c | 26,500$4,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,339.98 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 34c | 26,236$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.79 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…d4bbbacked Yes | 2c | 25,708$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3c…5613backed No | 79c | 24,999$19,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 24,819$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.7 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 1c | 24,538$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.93 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…3d69backed Yes | 24c | 24,292$5,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,938.45 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef6…f63abacked Yes | 57c | 22,894$12,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,975.91 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bd…d1cdbacked Yes | 2c | 22,656$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.89 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904d…8fd8backed Yes | 18c | 21,394$3,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,763.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 3c | 21,250$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…a882backed Yes | 8c | 20,821$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 20c | 20,307$4,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,061.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 59c | 20,064$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,183.8 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 11c | 17,200$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.95 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 15c | 17,002$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.57 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…b6dcbacked Yes | 16c | 16,322$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 2c | 16,100$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.8 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c7…e53fbacked Yes | 26c | 16,079$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,258.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…e169backed Yes | 28c | 14,845$4,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,159.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 47c | 14,763$6,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,889.22 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked No | 61c | 14,148$8,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,455.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 6c | 14,003$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.96 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…3772backed Yes | 16c | 14,000$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.5 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe784…e664backed Yes | 36c | 13,799$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960.38 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de7…89a4backed Yes | 2c | 13,564$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.33 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 9c | 13,258$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.41 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 55c | 13,233$7,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,019.2 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…0791backed Yes | 13c | 12,882$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.22 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +315.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…e4cebacked No | 78c | 12,832$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…6ec7backed Yes | 32c | 12,825$4,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,163 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…c8a7backed Yes | 4c | 12,421$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.98 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked No | 66c | 12,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,049.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +270.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 40c | 11,821$4,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,690.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 40c | 11,673$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 15c | 11,627$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.52 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…a64dbacked Yes | 23c | 11,590$2,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…c854backed Yes | 17c | 11,499$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…bb91backed No | 59c | 11,203$6,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.18 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…6e0abacked Yes | 7c | 11,194$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9642…d2abbacked Yes | 1c | 11,148$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 78c | 11,113$8,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.59 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc89…28dabacked Yes | 9c | 11,020$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18b…0f98backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6d…0a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 10,967$2,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.06 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5c…6c0fbacked Yes | 17c | 10,911$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.52 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…33c9backed Yes | 4c | 10,856$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.03 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345e…6bc7backed Yes | 26c | 10,594$2,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,710.19 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6271…784ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,497$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.03 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 44c | 10,284$4,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,539.53 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 34c | 10,227$3,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,441.11 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…6658backed Yes | 11c | 10,056$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.11 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a27…66dfbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…3e8dbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff3…b0febacked Yes | 11c | 10,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x761c…cf61backed Yes | 10c | 9,960$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.