Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb48a12a054500a965d2e62f4bc2d980963972895fa8586d9b1a90c13a803402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,486,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,898,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,486,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 147,413$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39de…a94bbacked Yes | 0c | 135,983$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 1c | 124,570$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.28 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 0c | 121,440$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 99,634$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebbc…f254backed Yes | 0c | 96,270$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 87,625$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08f…6e0abacked Yes | 1c | 41,289$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 39,999$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 37,756$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…7744backed Yes | 1c | 34,024$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 31,968$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa236…db7cbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 21,727$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.35 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 1c | 20,849$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b9d4backed Yes | 0c | 19,992$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0873…09e8backed Yes | 0c | 18,888$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x594c…9b29backed Yes | 1c | 17,328$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141b…0139backed Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,500$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 15,647$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 13,895$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d66…a0c0backed Yes | 1c | 13,441$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 12,995$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.91 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 1c | 12,642$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa98…cd18backed Yes | 1c | 12,397$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ed…d936backed Yes | 1c | 12,321$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…1432backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…d469backed Yes | 1c | 11,441$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…bc6ebacked Yes | 1c | 11,441$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…0347backed Yes | 1c | 10,839$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…c064backed Yes | 1c | 10,799$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…9e24backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,722$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 1c | 9,242$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.67 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…50dbbacked Yes | 1c | 8,889$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac21…b3b2backed Yes | 1c | 8,052$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…cd10backed Yes | 1c | 7,944$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9c…47f2backed Yes | 1c | 7,883$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf51…a223backed Yes | 1c | 7,873$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc908…b6b6backed Yes | 1c | 7,722$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc22…3e94backed Yes | 1c | 7,672$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b19…d962backed Yes | 1c | 6,666$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…79bcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,666$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…5b00backed Yes | 1c | 6,217$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…78dcbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbe…8076backed Yes | 1c | 5,720$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13cb…a48abacked Yes | 1c | 5,700$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 2c | 5,193$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1598…7b97backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ec…f7eabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd3…5c96backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…b9a6backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b736backed Yes | 1c | 4,869$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…f075backed Yes | 1c | 4,440$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,232$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba8…6326backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 4,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf23d…213fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,423$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…7560backed Yes | 1c | 3,276$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…1bddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224c…ee07backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…4db0backed Yes | 1c | 2,632$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9852…65dabacked Yes | 1c | 2,502$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 1c | 2,475$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…488bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,448$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca1…72aebacked Yes | 1c | 2,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…c87ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…2cc1backed Yes | 4c | 2,300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.27 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 1c | 2,267$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 1c | 2,140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 1c | 2,140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bba…08a5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…d84fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,958$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…0783backed Yes | 1c | 1,950$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…57e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,875$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3051…7b31backed Yes | 1c | 1,827$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…4884backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 1c | 1,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 1,675$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9197…3cb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,571$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd609…40f4backed Yes | 1c | 1,514$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…9471backed Yes | 1c | 1,429$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +300.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…6984backed Yes | 1c | 1,351$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…1782backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 1cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…d3ccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 22cpaid | +212%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…d4c0backed Yes | 1c | 1,201$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 3cpaid | +175.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 1c | 1,057$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…b28abacked Yes | 1c | 1,036$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6991…2370backed Yes | 1c | 932.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc208…97b1backed Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0726…ab5cbacked Yes | 3c | 454.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8212…5933backed Yes | 3c | 428.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +8.1wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +189.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.