Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5c9dfaf695371a0cc321b47b35f66a6dbd1482f0503526603d2bd2a91bfdc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,829,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,212,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,829,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 0c | 2,712,239$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 1,988,716$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.72 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 1,751,513$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,823.3 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked Yes | 0c | 1,693,763$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 1,473,573$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.48 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3285…05aebacked Yes | 0c | 1,161,298$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 460,876$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.87 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7266…116abacked Yes | 0c | 413,660$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed Yes | 0c | 389,038$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf5…75e5backed Yes | 0c | 347,945$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 0c | 341,432$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.3 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 3cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 0c | 298,614$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…b722backed Yes | 0c | 264,893$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…8a1dbacked Yes | 0c | 217,791$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.17 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…5eedbacked Yes | 0c | 205,122$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc171…aa19backed Yes | 0c | 188,306$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…be7fbacked Yes | 0c | 181,329$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a00…d741backed Yes | 0c | 166,663$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…f6d1backed Yes | 0c | 158,222$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ed…6f16backed Yes | 0c | 133,333$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…1136backed Yes | 0c | 117,811$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9285…c19dbacked Yes | 0c | 111,101$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 79 | 2.5%2 W · 77 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -96%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8a…2861backed Yes | 0c | 109,167$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f04…1a93backed Yes | 0c | 102,808$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…d62cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604b…67b5backed Yes | 0c | 96,623$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cfa…c39dbacked Yes | 0c | 96,083$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 92,308$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b8…ec39backed Yes | 0c | 89,525$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44b…f081backed Yes | 0c | 82,736$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…6f2dbacked Yes | 0c | 77,172$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…46c1backed Yes | 0c | 75,042$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb6…fd8ebacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e7…ebd3backed Yes | 0c | 73,499$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…3d68backed Yes | 0c | 71,591$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0784…f127backed Yes | 0c | 70,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…4fa3backed Yes | 0c | 68,667$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6631…e50cbacked Yes | 0c | 68,000$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb991…ba03backed Yes | 0c | 67,879$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x406b…f22bbacked Yes | 0c | 66,741$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe0…e5aebacked Yes | 0c | 66,249$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…b4b1backed Yes | 0c | 65,712$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7a…545bbacked Yes | 0c | 64,644$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…bf23backed Yes | 0c | 62,154$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…0714backed Yes | 0c | 61,032$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…1c22backed Yes | 0c | 60,437$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…9ec5backed Yes | 0c | 60,340$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fe…699dbacked Yes | 0c | 60,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…4d1ebacked Yes | 0c | 59,991$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…6c5dbacked Yes | 1c | 57,747$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf35…9598backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeea…1e6bbacked Yes | 0c | 53,020$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…872ebacked Yes | 0c | 52,145$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b67…b194backed Yes | 0c | 51,779$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e9…e539backed Yes | 0c | 50,325$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…34bfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,124$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…fc8bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577a…51a7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…c7c9backed Yes | 0c | 47,768$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…6729backed Yes | 0c | 46,171$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 46,123$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.25 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…3d49backed Yes | 0c | 46,102$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…bf84backed Yes | 0c | 45,935$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeead…88e7backed Yes | 0c | 45,934$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…3b8ebacked Yes | 0c | 45,928$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…de56backed Yes | 0c | 45,928$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…9470backed Yes | 0c | 45,907$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…624dbacked Yes | 0c | 45,894$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43e1…dc1cbacked Yes | 0c | 45,893$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…71b9backed Yes | 0c | 45,891$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6772…199ebacked Yes | 0c | 45,856$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…e768backed Yes | 0c | 45,853$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f4…28b7backed Yes | 0c | 43,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…54a0backed Yes | 0c | 42,375$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 0c | 41,209$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.19 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x364e…433cbacked Yes | 0c | 41,000$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…147bbacked Yes | 0c | 40,633$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…547dbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae08…b0fdbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…db50backed Yes | 0c | 38,988$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb366…73ebbacked Yes | 0c | 36,664$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9e…3a2ebacked Yes | 0c | 35,165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…c62ebacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2651…6967backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0594…e07cbacked Yes | 0c | 32,630$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f0…001dbacked Yes | 1c | 32,166$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa044…f4f1backed Yes | 0c | 32,081$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd5…7f2cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd4…cda9backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595f…5611backed Yes | 0c | 25,001$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccb…d731backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fb…a834backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…4b67backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e5…e44fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…ff78backed Yes | 0c | 23,353$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x469c…309bbacked Yes | 0c | 22,222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.56 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e18…e894backed Yes | 0c | 20,456$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b9d4backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.