Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccc4ab56db6caab92d59cf5d4c0cfa6ffe781d373c337540a867c809df6205ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $474,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $483,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $474,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8be3…51dabacked No | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 34c | 19,393$6,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.16 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…aababacked Yes | 77c | 16,000$12,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 11cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…56bcbacked No | 21c | 14,239$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992.09 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 23c | 11,804$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.94 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed No | 22c | 8,995$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe14b…1ad3backed No | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked No | 21c | 7,272$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.43 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…8f01backed No | 25c | 7,173$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f1…2417backed No | 18c | 6,921$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.7 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 12c | 6,601$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.11 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 74c | 6,500$4,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 16c | 6,456$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.62 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…bc7dbacked No | 27c | 6,265$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…22d8backed No | 9c | 5,837$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.82 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 5,797$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.28 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…3c2bbacked Yes | 77c | 5,170$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.18 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…4206backed Yes | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 52c | 3,909$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.9 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…d932backed Yes | 73c | 2,981$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b92…45eebacked Yes | 70c | 2,839$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…0920backed No | 22c | 2,825$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed Yes | 75c | 2,590$1,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.9 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…119dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,500$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.02 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 2,490$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.38 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98fc…5382backed No | 69c | 2,401$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7860…07a8backed Yes | 70c | 2,393$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 11c | 2,287$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.16 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe642…9440backed No | 19c | 2,217$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed No | 34c | 2,209$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.93 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…28c0backed Yes | 79c | 2,200$1,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Yes | 69c | 2,128$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed No | 21c | 1,975$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.65 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,874$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…abfbbacked No | 19c | 1,811$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 14c | 1,799$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 14c | 1,635$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.83 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 77c | 1,400$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1087…013bbacked Yes | 69c | 1,376$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.7 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe21…65e5backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…e410backed No | 53c | 1,352$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f02…1395backed Yes | 47c | 1,348$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.58 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +332.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Yes | 73c | 1,300$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…0559backed No | 23c | 1,300$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…79b3backed Yes | 68c | 1,245$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 34cpaid | +202.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 13c | 1,234$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.42 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked No | 16c | 1,210$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.1 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…8835backed Yes | 33c | 1,203$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.94 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.50per pick | 39cpaid | +141.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…aba5backed Yes | 35c | 1,054$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 73c | 1,021$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…6b0bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed No | 28c | 999.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 75c | 985.58$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.18 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6f43…a080backed No | 22c | 976.42$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9df…d8bcbacked No | 21c | 968$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 74c | 900$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked No | 28c | 845.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46f…d199backed No | 24c | 834.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4b…5e66backed Yes | 75c | 818$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed No | 8c | 800$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…c74abacked Yes | 64c | 800$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Yes | 75c | 779.08$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed No | 16c | 704.23$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…d5a1backed Yes | 69c | 695.26$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…30e3backed Yes | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…f422backed Yes | 76c | 627.42$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.32 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x277e…7d32backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed Yes | 75c | 599.99$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…fb84backed Yes | 46c | 547.55$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…8075backed Yes | 70c | 540$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff3…00b3backed Yes | 37c | 539.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…6563backed No | 30c | 533.33$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +179.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc632…55bebacked Yes | 70c | 512.27$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.68 | 36 | 11.1%4 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x899f…7fcfbacked No | 28c | 508.89$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44a…c4f8backed Yes | 68c | 500$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf196…2709backed No | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Yes | 52c | 470.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed Yes | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d42…00a2backed No | 22c | 447.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb5…f7cebacked No | 22c | 445.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…2ccebacked Yes | 72c | 442.66$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…837abacked Yes | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked No | 31c | 405.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8242…6577backed Yes | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 3c | 399.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 241 | 7.1%17 W · 224 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc241…1487backed Yes | 69c | 350$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.24per pick | 28cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xab59…ea9abacked Yes | 76c | 341.11$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed No | 20c | 340.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 26c | 334.06$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.82 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 15c | 326.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…5bf9backed Yes | 74c | 325.84$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…dcd6backed Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.