TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x89f0…1e62

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT5547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.89
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Grizzlies vs. Rocketsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$57.29
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.54
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.15
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.16
Spread: Rockets (-12.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$132.5
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.19
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$708Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$708.06
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$64.91
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.22
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$150.67
Suns vs. Lakers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$520
Spread: Warriors (-11.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$514.5
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+98.8%+$17.11
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.87
Thunder vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$378.43
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.58
Pelicans vs. Celticsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.07
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.62
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.09
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+369%+$978.41
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.02
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.61
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.62
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.9
Will "2026" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.43
Will "Pinocchio" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will "LeBron" or "Bronny" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$10.8
Will "Armani" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will "Virgil" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will "Kanye" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$11.11
Will "Covid" be said on ICEMAN?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.83
Will "Toronto" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+474.1%+$52.85
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $875B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $165B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.89
Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $210B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$147
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+311%+$45.4
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$9.3
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$55.38
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$108.96
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+67.2%+$139.78
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.5
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $80B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $41.5B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.5
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.2%+$7.33
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.31per pick42cpaid-84.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Commodities — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.43
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$37.86
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.36
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 16?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$221.5
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+174%+$25.4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.6
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$82.4
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$15.25
Military action against Iran ends by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$12.84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$358.49
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+67.5%+$338.37
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jules Vaughn die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.96
Will Ethan Daley die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.71
Will Lexi Howard die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.48
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Will Faye die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+224.2%+$121.92
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$115.8
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$91.27
Will "Sentimental Value" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.36
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will "Epstein" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+69.5%+$16.4
Will "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Will "Ricky Gervais: Mortality" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will Good Hang with Amy Poehler win Best Podcast at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-36.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.8
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38,471Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$14,742.35
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102,810Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$57,080.93
Will Austria be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Paraguay be the worst-placed South American nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.4
Will Türkiye be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Bukayo Saka be in England's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Exequiel Palacios be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Julián Alvarez be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Will Bradley Barcola be in France's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Timothy Castagne be in Belgium's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$460
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$1,280
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$420
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+288.8%+$153.76
Will Chi Charlie Nguyen advance from the CA-45 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.2
Will Chuong Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.8
Will Tom Vo advance from the CA-45 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Calvin Lee advance from the CA-34 primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.2
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,048
All 8 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-58.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Amur Khabarovskbacked Salavat Yulaev Ufa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+56.7%+$6.24
Canadiens vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$51
Blue Jackets vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+69.5%+$20.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+194.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+488.2%+$66.38
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$197.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$812.89
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hyperliquid listed on Coinbase in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$203
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.