TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$744,430
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$736,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $744,430 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Over55c619,582$342,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277,215.731172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under46c300,001$136,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136,500.5266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under44c132,196$57,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,941.0570147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under45c110,000$49,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,933.9927747.7%132 W · 145 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c61,544$27,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,180.049,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over52c18,680$9,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,968.4132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c10,960$4,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.613,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c10,739$5,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,476.871,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under44c6,589$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.846,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c5,693$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,748.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Under47c5,526$2,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,597.089440.4%38 W · 56 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under45c4,641$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,531$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.264,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,84079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under51c3,709$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.0321350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under47c3,447$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.3821550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x162b…3d49backed Under51c2,681$1,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.385947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c2,680$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.752,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under43c2,379$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02968838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x047f…6f34backed Under51c2,039$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.96666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under49c1,983$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.415,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over54c1,895$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.366238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c1,700$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.991,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c1,680$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.662051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under58c1,651$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.2410239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,611$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,470$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.674,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under51c1,379$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.7118343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under43c1,308$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.91,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over28c1,279$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.946817.6%12 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under42c1,250$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5252,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Under1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under1c1,200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151236.5%8 W · 115 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-89.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under50c1,113$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.370246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Under50c1,110$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.694860.4%29 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under40c1,079$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4631345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c1,034$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.641,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under45c1,027$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5379650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xab3b…bac1backed Under53c1,027$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.213066.7%20 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x26ab…cf00backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under56c846.69$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7663746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under1c800$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.99$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over54c773.25$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.9444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over55c758.33$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6727246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Under3c750$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.540440.1%162 W · 242 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under40c738.83$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.531,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under45c730.32$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7739448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Under52c679.87$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.5127745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over32c644.62$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.722,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over52c630.25$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7362450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6048…2711backed Over58c617.01$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.153641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under54c600$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3227233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Under47c521.97$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.2917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under49c508.16$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25121147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Under42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21028852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22368645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Over35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3252544%11 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under45c495.04$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.15,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over38c477.51$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.121,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over51c475.78$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.1350954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under67c463.91$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.671,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Over49c445.92$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under53c440.06$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2321950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c410$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.952951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Under6c405.13$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2378639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Over49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20415650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Under49c392.16$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.165547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56cf…e292backed Under51c385.33$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.52366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5113148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Over52c373.16$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.129853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under75c365.58$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.198,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over57c334.22$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.61,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c330.44$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.662,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under60c328.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7960049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61dd…29d8backed Over55c309.1$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Under7c309$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4780440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f2e…caf6backed Over48c308.02$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.172450%12 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c297.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.261,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8785…df3fbacked Over32c292.01$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.53650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over57c284.28$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.8210447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Under51c281.47$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.553828.9%11 W · 27 L-7.6wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-41.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under71c275.49$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.561540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under43c257.09$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5519650.5%99 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.82,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over57c242.14$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over73c232.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6134255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under46c225.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8427245.6%124 W · 148 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under42c214.27$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9024949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Under57c209.7$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.58942.7%38 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c199.77$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.773,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c4d…0486backed Over25c194.62$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.887646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Over48c186.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2316249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over48c186.98$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.2320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd68…ca27backed Over58c175.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292a…5d78backed Under58c168.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.482665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Under44c167.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7213950.4%70 W · 69 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Over71c152.38$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2710764.5%69 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.