TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Lakers (-17.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Lakers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,151
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,151 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Lakers50c10,968$5,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,479.829,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Jazz50c8,381$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,185.231,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz58c3,750$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.081,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Jazz52c3,501$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,803.611,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Jazz61c3,000$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8301,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Jazz53c2,144$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.443,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lakers39c1,971$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,201.093,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Jazz48c1,896$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$916.223,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lakers39c1,433$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.1268838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lakers47c1,405$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.428,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz1c1,209$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Lakers45c1,073$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2945251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers49c863.8$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.781,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers50c804.91$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.271,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Lakers57c583.59$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.012,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Jazz28c505.69$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.383039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Lakers40c498$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.81,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Lakers48c484.4$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Lakers57c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.7359140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…d357backed Lakers61c422.5$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.777659.2%45 W · 31 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfce…ba4abacked Lakers41c365.58$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Lakers62c360.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1552461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers44c353.85$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1158953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Lakers53c326.45$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.0511040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f54…4e99backed Jazz60c322.08$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Lakers46c286.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6171654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Lakers46c286.12$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6119254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Jazz49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.832,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Jazz35c247.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2541753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jazz61c206.94$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.235,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0af7…ea7ebacked Jazz37c199.99$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.996723.9%16 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Jazz60c191.3$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7877549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Jazz60c183.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0916249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Jazz60c183.49$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0920040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Jazz49c152.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.221,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Lakers53c151.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.71,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Jazz49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.513953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lakers48c141.23$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.162,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Jazz46c140.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4621354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba77…efa0backed Lakers58c133.97$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Lakers38c131.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5781349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Lakers53c126.41$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.812,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Jazz46c119.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.235052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Jazz41c119.03$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4965630.2%198 W · 458 L-86.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-42.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Jazz46c117.66$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8844551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Jazz60c114.42$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.467944.3%35 W · 44 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-14.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Jazz34c104.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5313435.8%48 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Jazz48c100.84$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Lakers53c95.22$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c71…3414backed Jazz65c90.43$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.743342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Jazz29c80.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2737753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Jazz36c80.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8521640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Jazz50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Jazz52c79.57$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Jazz60c76.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6816245.1%73 W · 89 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Lakers51c74.09$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Jazz62c73.29$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4415650.6%79 W · 77 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eb4…1bd1backed Jazz60c72.83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.72532%8 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Lakers51c71.22$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.967646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Lakers35c69.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.111,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Jazz52c67.16$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2325348.6%123 W · 130 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Jazz52c66.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Lakers41c64.84$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.551,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b2…aca8backed Jazz63c57.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Lakers54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Jazz50c51.52$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed Jazz48c50.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.227570.7%53 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Jazz56c50.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1138947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lakers37c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.593543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f1d…7ff3backed Jazz59c49.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2610753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc94e…fe53backed Jazz60c48.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.283873.7%28 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Jazz61c48.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.491,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Jazz49c44.75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabd5…e713backed Lakers50c43.04$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Jazz44c42.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8916020%32 W · 128 L-27.0wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Lakers50c40.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x033b…5e3fbacked Lakers46c39.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.325752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Jazz27c39.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6711648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Jazz62c39.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4384443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2ae…9ba6backed Jazz26c39.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e96…1e75backed Jazz32c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7085…11edbacked Jazz58c36.98$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lakers44c36.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5613850%69 W · 69 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Lakers50c32.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4713153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bf…7b22backed Lakers48c31.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.63850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d75…a24abacked Jazz59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76368.3%43 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jazz45c29.8$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.441,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Lakers52c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2513057.7%75 W · 55 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c0c…759ebacked Jazz60c29.28$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.575563.6%35 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc376…a8e7backed Jazz52c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5731748.9%155 W · 162 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Jazz44c27.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c2…5509backed Jazz52c25.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.318444.6%82 W · 102 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Jazz44c25.37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0910743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Jazz61c24.06$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6821350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8277…7d31backed Lakers54c23.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.031637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Jazz60c23.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0512450.8%63 W · 61 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked Lakers51c23.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58052.5%42 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d46…93d0backed Jazz59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x20cf…91dbbacked Jazz59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84768.1%32 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99b…b46dbacked Jazz59c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85367.9%36 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.