TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,197
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,197 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c10,288$5,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,164.061,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c9,423$4,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,450.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c7,283$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.2890650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c5,293$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.014,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over57c5,241$2,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,270.056,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under48c3,449$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c3,252$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.852,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under47c1,869$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.391,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Under42c1,786$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.256237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over50c1,732$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.4914045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c935.88$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.31,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under44c867.2$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.8621147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under50c776$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38817249.4%85 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over45c609.88$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.431,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under45c557.96$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0840146.9%188 W · 213 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over54c516.44$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.681,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over54c514.17$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.831,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under49c499.97$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4968645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c440$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22062051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under50c316.44$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2236051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c300$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.671,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over55c276.68$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over48c269.59$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under46c258.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.4838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over59c253.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1366248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under49c250$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.952,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87a8…2dedbacked Under41c235.27$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.463743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79d7…893dbacked Under42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.521540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over35c227.53$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.412,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under41c226.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.541,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under50c194.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.771,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over52c194.24$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under69c191.55$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.6835942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over56c190.77$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.838540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under50c175.57$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7977549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under47c170.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over50c165.36$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7635052.6%184 W · 166 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over56c162.09$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9361151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c144.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7724849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Over43c137$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0141753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over55c135.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4558953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Over51c125.91$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.78646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over56c120.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over56c120.78$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1510447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over32c117.56$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3659250.2%297 W · 295 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Under45c116.36$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1139448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over53c116.23$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1519254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Under48c115.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.477648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbef…0c11backed Over63c108.32$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.874360.5%26 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c103.74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.663,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c101.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.988,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a33…9a46backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5113953.2%74 W · 65 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9912558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…21cdbacked Over56c97.36$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.843754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c88.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over55c88.8$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5971654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2544347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2511653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over31c80.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5810523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under49c78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.942,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.782,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under35c76.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7521…c083backed Over51c76.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.574734%16 W · 31 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under50c74.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4893543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over45c69.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7253348.4%258 W · 275 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over24c69.12$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.7610743%46 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked Over30c54.36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0511648.3%56 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over30c53.59$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3637753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over57c53.21$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.899454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over56c52.16$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9557051.9%296 W · 274 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Under56c50.47$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.341449.3%204 W · 210 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under44c49.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2236749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe711…3dd2backed Over60c48.8$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5212855.5%71 W · 57 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under48c46.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5255444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over52c46.69$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4137853.4%202 W · 176 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd946…0d96backed Under50c46.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.281566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c45.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.454,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Under65c40.9$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5315663.5%99 W · 57 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over53c40.34$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over30c39.98$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.998755.2%48 W · 39 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Over49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.181872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over56c39.01$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1731953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over51c36.16$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7215053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over32c33.6$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7544551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked Over44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86663.6%42 W · 24 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under48c24.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.85862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1a…8984backed Over43c24.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.115540%22 W · 33 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0be3…35febacked Under70c23.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Under51c21.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8418548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a5e…f08abacked Under54c19.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.772853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfac1…a156backed Under56c19.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16070%42 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over57c18.77$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1419357.5%111 W · 82 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.