TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0be3…35fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
104
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Dota2, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2867.9%19 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Alphabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$75.33
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group Omegabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$28.76
Valorant: Team Heretics vs All Gamers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.69
Valorant: Paper Rex vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7.17
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$8.77
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.18
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$28.19
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.56
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.41
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.97
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$7.98
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$7.87
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5.41
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked XLG Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$10.49
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$13.13
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$7.37
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$8.45
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$4.18
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$15.06
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.42
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.71
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$47.14
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.56
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$49.61
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$110.39
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$86.86
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$35.18
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.83
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$10.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.48
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$8
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$14.98
LoL: FALKE Esports vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked FALKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Ground Zero Gaming vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$591.87
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.96
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Abacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 2 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.54
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Isurus - Map 1 Winnerbacked Imperial · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.82
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys - Map 1 Winnerbacked Tricksters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Counter-Strike: FaZe Up Next vs LEO - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe Up Next · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$36.61
Counter-Strike: Julie&cie vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked eternal premium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$33.12
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs WBT - Map 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$8.21
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Prestige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.92
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.3
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.33
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27%+$3.24
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.21
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$25.79
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$34.76
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.51
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.87
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.2
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.64
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$13.07
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.29
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$17.87
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick70cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.46
Wimbledon ATP: Roman Safiullin vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Wimbledon ATP: Gabriel Diallo vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$11.73
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.5
Milan: Daniel Michalski vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.24
Targu Mures: Niels McDonald vs Francesco Passarobacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Sofia Costoulas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Grass Court Championships: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.96
Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Maxim Mrvabacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.67
Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$34.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$3.77
Jazz vs. Lakers: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.73
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Shara Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.