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Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros WTA: Donna Vekic vs Naomi Osaka

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Naomi Osakaof Donna Vekic, Naomi Osaka
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$237,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,813

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Donna Vekic11c33,310$3,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,720.65536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Naomi Osaka76c12,534$9,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,070.264,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Donna Vekic26c12,500$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2505030%15 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Naomi Osaka74c9,130$6,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,384.4830940.5%125 W · 184 L-24.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Naomi Osaka74c7,681$5,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.9433955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb2f…9156backed Naomi Osaka75c7,244$5,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.31742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Naomi Osaka75c7,213$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,812.574060%24 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Naomi Osaka75c7,129$5,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.359,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Donna Vekic43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1501,44928.4%412 W · 1,037 L+2.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Donna Vekic25c4,344$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.474,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Donna Vekic43c3,257$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.459458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Donna Vekic27c3,090$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.9745036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Donna Vekic26c3,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78068935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Naomi Osaka73c2,831$2,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.385669.6%39 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfac1…3176backed Donna Vekic22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004139%16 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Donna Vekic10c2,092$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.630827.6%85 W · 223 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x628a…f7aabacked Donna Vekic31c2,039$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.2940%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Donna Vekic7c2,037$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Donna Vekic26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52038238.2%146 W · 236 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Donna Vekic40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80059348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Donna Vekic27c1,962$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.653,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Donna Vekic1c1,930$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.971,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Donna Vekic10c1,906$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Naomi Osaka79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.737660.5%46 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Donna Vekic25c1,796$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.922,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc149…dc81backed Donna Vekic23c1,736$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.371838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+65.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca0e…7248backed Donna Vekic9c1,667$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Naomi Osaka79c1,632$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.635,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Naomi Osaka79c1,536$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0553655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Donna Vekic27c1,524$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.4557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Donna Vekic15c1,502$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.2736546.8%171 W · 194 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1491…11d3backed Donna Vekic15c1,427$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5616133.5%54 W · 107 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6f…959abacked Donna Vekic39c1,427$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5554955.1%27 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Donna Vekic18c1,427$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.512,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Donna Vekic50c1,424$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71262645.4%284 W · 342 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Naomi Osaka71c1,402$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.53,73145.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L-3.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Naomi Osaka77c1,277$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.7511,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Donna Vekic26c1,250$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251,37538.3%527 W · 848 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Donna Vekic46c1,213$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.6431647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Donna Vekic20c1,165$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.32,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b02…7939backed Donna Vekic25c1,111$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Naomi Osaka58c1,079$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.0965952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9702…9453backed Naomi Osaka74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2601656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Donna Vekic26c999.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Donna Vekic26c999.94$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991,51837.7%573 W · 945 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Donna Vekic26c944.94$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6999649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Naomi Osaka66c904.83$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.46,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Naomi Osaka79c841.5$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.424,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3957…35f0backed Naomi Osaka73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9217771.8%127 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Donna Vekic16c758.13$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.337421.9%82 W · 292 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Naomi Osaka74c710.56$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.751,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Donna Vekic13c679.49$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Naomi Osaka76c658.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.463174.2%23 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked Donna Vekic25c637.93$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.481540%6 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Naomi Osaka74c565.36$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.071,77149.2%872 W · 899 L+58.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Naomi Osaka74c550$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1431,71148.5%829 W · 882 L+41.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Donna Vekic40c548.36$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.362,78153.8%1,495 W · 1,286 L+71.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Donna Vekic25c544.05$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.0128756.1%161 W · 126 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+27.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Naomi Osaka75c526.32$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.581,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…9c72backed Naomi Osaka78c509.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.612737%10 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc63…d5c8backed Naomi Osaka78c504.92$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.972161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Donna Vekic28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14011133.3%37 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Donna Vekic50c483.58$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.791,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a73…2a3ebacked Donna Vekic24c477.25$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.091520%3 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Donna Vekic21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10073350.9%373 W · 360 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Naomi Osaka75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.673852.6%20 W · 18 L-6.0wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f57…2282backed Naomi Osaka76c460.74$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7437264.2%239 W · 133 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Donna Vekic22c455$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.110221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9796…8718backed Donna Vekic26c454.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.286535.4%23 W · 42 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afd…9fdebacked Naomi Osaka75c404.07$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.023262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Naomi Osaka75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10024259.9%145 W · 97 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Donna Vekic25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Donna Vekic25c399.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9928747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Donna Vekic26c399.28$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.423,74942.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L-44.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2cc…893cbacked Donna Vekic11c389.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.195444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0602…a12ebacked Donna Vekic26c376.96$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.01560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+28.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Donna Vekic14c368.45$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.352,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Donna Vekic30c337.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047534.5%164 W · 311 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Naomi Osaka60c332.76$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8779140.7%322 W · 469 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Donna Vekic16c316.02$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.715,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b0…5294backed Donna Vekic39c315.38$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3847250.4%238 W · 234 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe75…27e4backed Donna Vekic26c301$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.26520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Naomi Osaka74c300$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7816848.2%81 W · 87 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eb1…3c8abacked Donna Vekic10c284.82$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.483060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe527…2131backed Naomi Osaka74c270.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.41540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e02…b178backed Donna Vekic7c262.68$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.63349.6%32 W · 302 L-16.7wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Donna Vekic25c251.08$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Donna Vekic26c248.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5237330.3%113 W · 260 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Donna Vekic18c240.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.172,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Donna Vekic13c237.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.861,06242%446 W · 616 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Donna Vekic15c225.87$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0817440.2%70 W · 104 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Naomi Osaka74c222.97$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9771165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Donna Vekic26c211.24$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9214657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Naomi Osaka50c206$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1031,22354.9%672 W · 551 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Donna Vekic35c202$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Donna Vekic50c200.15$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.071,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Donna Vekic15c197.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2922821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9947…925dbacked Naomi Osaka67c194.65$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Donna Vekic37c190.05$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702,15354.1%1,165 W · 988 L-2.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Naomi Osaka53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6827528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.