TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fa0…be6d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT5536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Alex Marti Pujolrasbacked Alex Marti Pujolras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.7
Heilbronn: Hugo Dellien vs Max Schoenhausbacked Hugo Dellien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$4,231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,230.74
Perugia: Moez Echargui vs Chun-Hsin Tsengbacked Moez Echargui · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.1
Perugia: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Gianluca Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$6,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,047.44
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$5,997Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,997.19
Prostejov: Alexander Shevchenko vs Raul Brancacciobacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$3,326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,325.54
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,165.42
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Berrettinibacked Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$630
Heilbronn: Joel Schwaerzler vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+180.1%+$465.03
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97,424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97,424.38
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$7,022Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,022.01
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$6,357.74
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,319.18
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$640
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmannbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$587Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$586.88
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52,421.69
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.89
Roland Garros WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Xiyu Wangbacked Xiyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,410.07
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28,204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,204.06
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,738Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,738.11
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25,333Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+214.8%+$54,403.61
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14,696Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$15,780.57
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13,288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,287.59
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Francisco Comesanabacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+474.5%+$16,134.29
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,960.55
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$5,006.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$29,649.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,854Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,853.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.