TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Heilbronn: Joel Schwaerzler vs Matej Dodig

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Matej Dodigof Joel Schwaerzler, Matej Dodig
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,130

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde9f…d43cbacked Matej Dodig59c2,784$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeecf…9e86backed Joel Schwaerzler33c1,540$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.26911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Matej Dodig55c1,401$772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.124,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Joel Schwaerzler48c1,015$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.029,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Matej Dodig53c888.99$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.8211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Joel Schwaerzler57c848.69$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.844,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed Joel Schwaerzler69c824.75$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.0830847.7%147 W · 161 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Matej Dodig44c792.55$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.013,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa0…be6dbacked Matej Dodig36c723.27$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.035536.4%20 W · 35 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Matej Dodig45c684.08$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.014,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Joel Schwaerzler61c559$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.431,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Joel Schwaerzler48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2404,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Joel Schwaerzler63c476.17$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.491,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…93c7backed Joel Schwaerzler34c465.58$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.237644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Matej Dodig76c447.24$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.211,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Matej Dodig38c404.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.7257842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matej Dodig48c397.02$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.978,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb2…f12fbacked Joel Schwaerzler54c350$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18936661.7%226 W · 140 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Matej Dodig33c350$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.558639.6%232 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Matej Dodig37c317.45$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.991,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Matej Dodig50c312.77$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.15,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782d…8211backed Joel Schwaerzler43c312.33$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1670456.8%400 W · 304 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Matej Dodig51c290.64$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.292,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Joel Schwaerzler32c290.3$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.898,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x585e…019fbacked Joel Schwaerzler55c262.13$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1710152.5%53 W · 48 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cf8…75e4backed Matej Dodig39c261.41$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5119343.5%84 W · 109 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a89…df4bbacked Joel Schwaerzler61c261.41$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4614657.5%84 W · 62 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Joel Schwaerzler22c258.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0766834.3%229 W · 439 L-43.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Joel Schwaerzler56c250.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.322,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1179…8bc2backed Joel Schwaerzler45c223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.351154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Joel Schwaerzler40c219.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7213928.1%39 W · 100 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Joel Schwaerzler46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Joel Schwaerzler16c199.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.796048.3%29 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x476e…cfb9backed Joel Schwaerzler57c194$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1835060.9%213 W · 137 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed Joel Schwaerzler61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Matej Dodig38c157.89$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.891,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Joel Schwaerzler18c149.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1392548.8%451 W · 474 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Joel Schwaerzler10c149.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156923.2%16 W · 53 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Matej Dodig46c148.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.724626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Joel Schwaerzler37c147.5$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1199244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Matej Dodig37c135.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.125,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Joel Schwaerzler38c132$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Matej Dodig55c128.65$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.848,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Matej Dodig78c127.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.981,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Matej Dodig52c123.19$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.126,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Joel Schwaerzler23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.648235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Joel Schwaerzler23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.669438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Matej Dodig42c110$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.892138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Matej Dodig37c108.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.491,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Joel Schwaerzler31c107$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.955,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Matej Dodig73c106$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2235187.7%308 W · 43 L+66.4wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+29.6%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Matej Dodig38c101.76$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0985637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Joel Schwaerzler23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2311141.4%46 W · 65 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Joel Schwaerzler23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2339941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe16c…9d62backed Joel Schwaerzler65c98.05$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7335248.6%171 W · 181 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Matej Dodig55c98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.11,85357.7%1,069 W · 784 L+106.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Joel Schwaerzler62c88.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.863,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Matej Dodig48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.681,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x561d…4134backed Joel Schwaerzler29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2244949.4%222 W · 227 L+23.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Matej Dodig53c70.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.774531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Matej Dodig39c60.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.623,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8711…d2d0backed Matej Dodig50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043358.4%253 W · 180 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Joel Schwaerzler62c57.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7358745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Matej Dodig38c53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.862,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Joel Schwaerzler65c52.31$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Matej Dodig42c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5851339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Matej Dodig46c46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7143750.3%220 W · 217 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd843…a597backed Matej Dodig62c45.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.16757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Joel Schwaerzler35c43.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0534729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2cd6…3806backed Matej Dodig76c41.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1616354%88 W · 75 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…9a00backed Joel Schwaerzler62c40.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520158.7%118 W · 83 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Joel Schwaerzler38c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.031,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Joel Schwaerzler43c39.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1789134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d75…26fbbacked Joel Schwaerzler63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516358.9%96 W · 67 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Joel Schwaerzler63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2588560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Joel Schwaerzler62c36$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4449151.7%254 W · 237 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Joel Schwaerzler30c33.89$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Matej Dodig47c33.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.643,67754.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L+107.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Joel Schwaerzler47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Joel Schwaerzler40c31.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8357845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ad…34cebacked Joel Schwaerzler65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2044051.6%227 W · 213 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Matej Dodig53c29.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.892,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Joel Schwaerzler62c26.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.392,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Matej Dodig46c24.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.0823942.7%102 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7511…dea8backed Matej Dodig50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101973.7%14 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Matej Dodig62c16.67$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3515570.3%109 W · 46 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.