TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc3e0…88a5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Birmingham: Taylah Preston vs Alicia Dudeneybacked Alicia Dudeney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Perugia: Francesco Forti vs Jelle Selsbacked Jelle Sels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.43
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Tung-Lin Wubacked Tung-Lin Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Foggia: Laura Mair vs Yiming Dangbacked Yiming Dang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
ITF Sumter: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Anna Rogersbacked Anna Rogers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.92
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowskibacked Maks Kasnikowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.73
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.8
Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garlandbacked Gabriela Knutson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$30.25
Birmingham: Mackenzie McDonald vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Makarska: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Victoria Jimenez Kasintsevabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+29%+$5.21
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Birmingham: Kayla Day vs Hanne Vandewinkelbacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$12.27
Perugia: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Lorenzo Carbonibacked Lorenzo Carboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Centurion 2: Sasikumar Mukund vs Giles Husseybacked Sasikumar Mukund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.78
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
Prostejov: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Hynek Bartonbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Martin Krumichbacked Genaro Alberto Olivieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$16.94
Perugia: Pierluigi Basile vs Stefano Travagliabacked Stefano Travaglia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.04
Makarska: Leolia Jeanjean vs Kajsa Rinaldo Perssonbacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$30.99
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.52
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Prostejov: Maxim Mrva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Lloyd Harris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+148%+$63.81
Birmingham: Mary Stoiana vs Lulu Sunbacked Lulu Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.66
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT3246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Haiti vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.07
Will Wales vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+313%+$57.54
Will Wales win on 2026-06-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+306.6%+$38.93
Wales vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+181.9%+$29.15
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+124%+$30.5
Georgia vs. Romania: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.79
Georgia vs. Romania: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$10.12
Croatia vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.94
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.33
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$18.05
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.23
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$22.57
Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$12.46
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$15.16
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.54
Türkiye vs. North Macedonia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$3.56
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-06-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
New York Mets vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$22.38
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.2
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$4.01
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.7%+$13.03
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.95
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$50.46
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.53
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+53%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5)backed Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.