TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Birmingham: James Watt vs Harry Wendelken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Harry Wendelkenof James Watt, Harry Wendelken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$412,527
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$449,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $412,527 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x710c…78eabacked James Watt0c278,858$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x820a…ca12backed James Watt45c12,754$5,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,698.9833442.5%142 W · 192 L-0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed James Watt12c6,318$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.778,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Harry Wendelken56c5,786$3,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.984,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Harry Wendelken58c4,531$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.879047.8%43 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked James Watt44c3,424$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,490.2911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed James Watt46c3,125$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43465651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6168…dda9backed Harry Wendelken79c1,899$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.275265.4%34 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Harry Wendelken75c1,418$1,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.24,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed James Watt45c1,408$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.363,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed James Watt41c1,386$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.741,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Harry Wendelken52c1,313$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.411646.6%54 W · 62 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Harry Wendelken33c1,213$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.78,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa4…8968backed Harry Wendelken61c1,202$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.653565.7%23 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Harry Wendelken59c1,195$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.181,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked James Watt39c1,165$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.1845343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Harry Wendelken59c1,025$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.723,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Harry Wendelken55c967.19$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.38,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb831…f31cbacked Harry Wendelken37c953.25$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.033661.1%22 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked James Watt28c838.25$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Harry Wendelken58c820.84$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.611,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked James Watt43c818.96$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.082,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Harry Wendelken64c782.63$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6220749.8%103 W · 104 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed James Watt33c780.51$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2878840.6%320 W · 468 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Harry Wendelken55c763.38$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.524,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0182…301cbacked Harry Wendelken62c736.27$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1913360.9%81 W · 52 L+0.6wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked James Watt5c707.52$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.73208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Harry Wendelken76c700.07$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.75,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed James Watt13c696.02$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1642125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Harry Wendelken64c687.31$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.431,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed James Watt36c664.38$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.1857842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Harry Wendelken63c634.92$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9219167%128 W · 63 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed James Watt44c599.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.991,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Harry Wendelken59c559.32$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.322,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed Harry Wendelken20c524.05$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.7550442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Harry Wendelken59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed James Watt51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.994,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed James Watt35c450.49$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.489,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed James Watt14c445.33$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.782,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked James Watt10c432.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1396945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x936e…4d49backed James Watt38c416.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1606165.6%40 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed James Watt50c416$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2555941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed James Watt26c369.22$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.354,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed James Watt22c360.04$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7830226.8%81 W · 221 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed James Watt28c348.06$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.412,08544.5%928 W · 1,157 L-51.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed James Watt37c341.24$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.014045%18 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22c7…d814backed James Watt50c328.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5640554.1%219 W · 186 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Harry Wendelken62c317.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.47,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Harry Wendelken64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3e…061cbacked James Watt42c295.24$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12410143.6%44 W · 57 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ce…7765backed Harry Wendelken62c291.72$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.721241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.22per pick63cpaid-43.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Harry Wendelken57c261.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.64,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Harry Wendelken57c251$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.857,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed James Watt47c239.98$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.1992138.4%354 W · 567 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed James Watt47c231.54$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2922939.3%90 W · 139 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Harry Wendelken53c230.07$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.555,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Harry Wendelken55c229.8$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4173748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed James Watt44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Harry Wendelken59c212.39$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.493,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Harry Wendelken57c201.02$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.621,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed James Watt40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Harry Wendelken57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.081,34949.8%672 W · 677 L-6.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x83d0…7d45backed Harry Wendelken50c195.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked James Watt40c185.98$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed James Watt42c169.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa021…d5c9backed Harry Wendelken61c165.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.221947.4%9 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Harry Wendelken62c162.5$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7511162.2%69 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Harry Wendelken63c159.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.541952.6%10 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed James Watt41c159.5$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8660856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9360…67f0backed Harry Wendelken63c157.14$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1411249.1%55 W · 57 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked James Watt41c152.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8785637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Harry Wendelken63c146.08$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7391755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Harry Wendelken58c145.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4467239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Harry Wendelken41c145$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.552,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked James Watt47c138.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.066564.6%42 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed James Watt50c135.02$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x782c…38c2backed Harry Wendelken76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5816063.8%102 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9472…94cabacked James Watt42c128.56$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.07425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked James Watt37c124.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5356827.3%155 W · 413 L+23.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed James Watt42c119.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037238.2%142 W · 230 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8c…e548backed James Watt26c115.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b5…1db6backed James Watt43c113.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8128562.8%179 W · 106 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Harry Wendelken20c113$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.445235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked James Watt41c107.25$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.611,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e0…88a5backed Harry Wendelken40c106.92$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.814531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Harry Wendelken47c104.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.116,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked James Watt37c104.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.69257.6%53 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91f8…71e0backed James Watt35c103.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.393554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed James Watt34c102.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3539135.8%140 W · 251 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Harry Wendelken60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed James Watt38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked James Watt40c99.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7550340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Harry Wendelken76c97.75$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4633352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Harry Wendelken61c96.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.766,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed James Watt42c95.18$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…640abacked Harry Wendelken72c93.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0647857.9%277 W · 201 L+24.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed James Watt40c85$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440161.1%245 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9644…d03bbacked Harry Wendelken57c85$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5537047%174 W · 196 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Harry Wendelken64c84.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.2360962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Harry Wendelken75c83.85$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8656070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.