Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sumter: Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez vs Anna Rogers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x356be26821e5d06a9d54a4d8e0fc95251d6be4fa9efd3378578674a6569cdae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalezof Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez, Anna Rogers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,473
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anna Rogers | 23c | 1,490$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.18 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 55c | 971.35$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 63c | 966.29$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.26 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Anna Rogers | 28c | 821.43$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…8bc2backed Anna Rogers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Anna Rogers | 47c | 253.7$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 73c | 183.45$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Anna Rogers | 45c | 141.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Rogers | 31c | 135.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 52c | 112.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 51c | 95.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 30c | 91.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna Rogers | 57c | 84.46$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 78c | 74.51$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 61c | 69.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Anna Rogers | 29c | 61.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | 72c | 58.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Anna Rogers | 69c | 55.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…88a5backed Anna Rogers | 32c | 53.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Anna Rogers | 41c | 48.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Rogers | 38c | 47.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anna Rogers | 26c | 44.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anna Rogers | 39c | 28.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Anna Rogers | 44c | 27.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.