Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86f102a31cf4b12dbcf31ae8c62c526c0b538d5b7eb1af5947d0b0378522f926

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $6,135,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $5,870,973

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,135,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,861 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x611a…c189backed Yes	2c	918,378$20,942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,941.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	23c	353,396$81,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81,163.46	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Yes	1c	343,417$2,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,605.74	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes	24c	274,659$65,672 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65,671.53	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4328…0310backed Yes	23c	217,391$50,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50,000	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No	77c	217,065$167,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49,924.93	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadef…02ccbacked Yes	1c	155,807$842 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$842	77	23.4%18 W · 59 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x819b…d996backed Yes	3c	145,717$5,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,100	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	0c	127,020$616 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.55	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	20c	120,381$24,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,071.59	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes	0c	111,964$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.67	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+8.4wins	+0.06per pick	2cpaid	+90.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Yes	24c	96,825$22,803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,803.19	55	23.6%13 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes	1c	94,378$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$663.14	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	1cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked No	76c	90,000$68,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,600	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26ea…2f4bbacked No	76c	84,198$63,990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,207.44	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ba7…f56bbacked Yes	24c	77,360$18,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,566.45	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No	76c	74,918$56,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,028.29	299	52.5%157 W · 142 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Yes	1c	67,412$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	24c	61,828$14,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,892.76	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa137…9ac4backed Yes	0c	53,472$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-58.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73c8…fd11backed Yes	18c	52,573$9,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,354.66	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…38f9backed Yes	18c	52,412$9,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,509.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	23c	44,919$10,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,331.51	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x643c…3fc2backed Yes	9c	44,444$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b94…d3cbbacked Yes	2c	43,855$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.47	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdc…40d8backed Yes	0c	43,156$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.0wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes	23c	40,388$9,289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,289.34	92	47.8%44 W · 48 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9022…b6bcbacked Yes	2c	40,340$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	76c	39,999$30,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,599.87	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b9…f378backed Yes	24c	38,450$9,228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,228	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedd9…f79bbacked Yes	23c	29,999$6,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,899.84	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	23c	29,832$6,867 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,866.73	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x933e…901fbacked Yes	3c	29,582$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.86	65	21.5%14 W · 51 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No	76c	29,195$22,188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,006.73	162	44.4%72 W · 90 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No	76c	21,250$16,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,099.92	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Yes	24c	20,816$4,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,913.06	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes	8c	20,793$1,635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,635.19	369	39.6%146 W · 223 L	-12.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Yes	1c	20,500$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.8	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes	23c	20,000$4,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,600	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	17c	19,111$3,215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,215.13	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No	77c	18,715$14,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,304.41	135	33.3%45 W · 90 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes	23c	17,000$3,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,830	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1c…9867backed No	76c	16,117$12,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,868.14	77	53.2%41 W · 36 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes	9c	16,111$1,413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,412.88	208	56.7%118 W · 90 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	24c	13,966$3,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,375.8	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed No	76c	13,071$9,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,072.11	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa53e…738bbacked Yes	1c	11,403$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No	77c	11,381$8,721 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,660.02	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f21…805ebacked Yes	10c	11,340$1,128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,127.7	80	23.8%19 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-71.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked No	77c	10,000$7,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,300	46	69.6%32 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	69cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4876…446bbacked Yes	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Yes	23c	10,000$2,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,299.98	133	31.6%42 W · 91 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Yes	25c	9,016$2,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,254	66	33.3%22 W · 44 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4208…13febacked Yes	2c	8,993$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No	77c	8,752$6,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.99	355	49.9%177 W · 178 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes	23c	8,684$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.54	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No	76c	8,592$6,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,062.09	83	55.4%46 W · 37 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…8c03backed Yes	3c	8,278$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.56	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes	3c	8,209$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.27	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No	76c	8,201$6,238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,963.18	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes	22c	8,096$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,766.13	736	26.5%195 W · 541 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa5…4702backed Yes	25c	8,096$2,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,023.92	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-5.6wins	-0.33per pick	51cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc13c…a202backed Yes	25c	8,000$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed No	76c	8,000$6,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,919.97	307	51.1%157 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes	3c	7,810$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.87	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e7a…b987backed Yes	5c	7,323$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.06	61	9.8%6 W · 55 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x689a…92f1backed Yes	3c	7,041$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.17	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2a…1fcabacked No	77c	6,981$5,375 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.56	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	75c	6,944$5,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,736.03	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes	3c	6,775$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.26	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…a795backed No	77c	6,528$5,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,501.53	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.26per pick	75cpaid	+34.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Yes	24c	6,345$1,523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,522.72	122	48.4%59 W · 63 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x158c…9164backed No	75c	6,138$4,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,506.58	35	57.1%20 W · 15 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb08…d608backed Yes	6c	6,083$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.16per pick	36cpaid	+39.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	23c	6,028$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,364.97	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No	76c	6,000$4,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,439.94	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	76c	5,940$4,514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,425.6	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	23c	5,827$1,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,340.16	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes	23c	5,624$1,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,293.88	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes	23c	5,500$1,265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,265	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	76c	5,476$4,166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,309.5	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x546b…cbabbacked Yes	1c	5,402$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed No	76c	5,360$4,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,286.46	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No	77c	5,195$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,194.81	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	23c	5,150$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x176f…cd75backed Yes	1c	5,048$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	44	27.3%12 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4776…7f65backed Yes	0c	5,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4699…e03cbacked No	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.10per pick	70cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No	77c	5,000$3,850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,150	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-83%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df4…fc58backed Yes	24c	5,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Yes	1c	4,950$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x435c…170fbacked Yes	24c	4,845$1,163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.69	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Yes	23c	4,783$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.09	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…de5fbacked Yes	0c	4,750$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Yes	1c	4,512$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.59	214	39.7%85 W · 129 L	+7.4wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf0…7dfabacked Yes	8c	4,481$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	36cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes	21c	4,468$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.77	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7c…411abacked Yes	13c	4,426$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.08	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?this page
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event