Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26c10c27cde58e2d6214d65ab562d8142d34723b3b6ec3f40836d24f6d22dfc9

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,745,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,073,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,745,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 7,414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2e25…d49ebacked No	54c	5,390,591$2,892,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,892,084.55	33	60.6%20 W · 13 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e4d…b874backed No	53c	2,880,950$1,529,655 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,529,654.66	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes	46c	1,878,850$864,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,014,578.87	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	51c	1,750,244$889,072 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$861,171.49	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Yes	47c	1,258,600$591,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$667,057.97	91	42.9%39 W · 52 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No	53c	1,161,605$615,651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615,650.59	335	38.2%128 W · 207 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Yes	47c	1,149,567$540,296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609,270.49	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed No	51c	987,495$505,817 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505,817.48	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	47c	968,553$451,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516,977.87	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8cb4…1057backed Yes	46c	843,371$387,951 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455,420.34	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2643…39aebacked Yes	48c	714,710$344,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$369,748.95	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed No	28c	706,044$197,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197,119.96	26	69.2%18 W · 8 L	+3.5wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	56c	584,520$325,495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259,024.88	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	47c	570,043$270,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299,300.08	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	65c	498,543$323,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$174,787.66	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes	51c	482,234$245,458 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236,775.77	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked No	54c	416,843$225,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225,095.31	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No	40c	405,023$160,358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160,357.98	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Yes	49c	400,000$196,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204,000	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Yes	47c	399,999$188,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211,999.72	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No	54c	399,998$215,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215,998.87	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6211…b89ebacked No	54c	379,999$205,199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205,199.2	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes	47c	361,702$170,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191,702.13	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes	47c	300,000$141,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158,999.99	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed No	51c	256,975$131,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131,057.46	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed No	53c	250,000$132,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132,499.88	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	47c	222,082$103,769 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118,312.96	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed No	53c	211,107$111,887 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111,886.54	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	42cpaid	+140%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc67a…f0b6backed Yes	46c	200,000$92,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,000	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-5.6wins	-0.27per pick	51cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Yes	47c	200,000$94,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106,000	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Yes	47c	188,659$88,670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99,989.52	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	55cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8428…9210backed No	53c	188,030$99,656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,655.85	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed Yes	46c	178,797$82,247 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96,550.63	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed No	51c	174,999$89,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,249.48	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No	52c	174,056$90,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90,509.12	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed No	52c	170,905$88,871 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88,870.76	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No	52c	162,082$84,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,250.2	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Yes	46c	152,174$70,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82,173.91	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed No	50c	150,342$75,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75,170.82	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed Yes	47c	141,600$66,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75,464	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5d…3c28backed Yes	74c	134,800$99,135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,665.48	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	53cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes	47c	134,434$62,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71,890.03	174	52.3%91 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No	53c	133,177$70,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70,583.59	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No	53c	129,750$68,148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,148.24	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa79e…1fb0backed Yes	49c	123,000$60,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62,730	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+3.3wins	+0.18per pick	60cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No	3c	108,941$2,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,872.1	147	15.6%23 W · 124 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes	72c	105,700$76,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29,596	320	31.6%101 W · 219 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	47c	100,000$47,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,700	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes	47c	100,000$47,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,800	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked No	54c	100,000$54,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54,000	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x620c…4baebacked Yes	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52,999.99	28	67.9%19 W · 9 L	+3.1wins	+0.11per pick	57cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No	50c	99,076$49,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,749.78	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes	73c	97,646$70,845 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,801.42	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed No	53c	89,759$47,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,572.27	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No	52c	86,908$45,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,539.73	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Yes	47c	84,088$39,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,579.56	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes	74c	80,646$59,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,103.66	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked No	53c	80,000$42,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,399.75	240	28.8%69 W · 171 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes	47c	77,578$36,717 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,860.94	213	43.2%92 W · 121 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Yes	67c	75,000$50,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,600	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	57cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No	54c	75,000$40,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,499.97	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No	34c	70,821$23,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,935.01	565	41.1%232 W · 333 L	-9.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Yes	61c	66,043$40,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,042.55	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No	53c	60,000$31,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,800	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes	47c	59,296$27,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,426.74	46	67.4%31 W · 15 L	+9.3wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+41.3%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked No	8c	57,422$4,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,321.54	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No	13c	57,331$7,412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,412.47	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	65c	57,203$37,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,096.3	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes	47c	53,191$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,191.49	70	35.7%25 W · 45 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes	46c	51,000$23,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,540	58	39.7%23 W · 35 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No	53c	50,328$26,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,899.79	425	41.6%177 W · 248 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	53c	50,000$26,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,499.94	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No	51c	49,999$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.6	45	37.8%17 W · 28 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked No	53c	49,690$26,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,335.7	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Yes	70c	49,192$34,267 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,925.27	348	45.1%157 W · 191 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No	54c	49,000$26,460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,459.93	402	39.8%160 W · 242 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes	50c	47,058$23,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,528.86	31	29%9 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked No	53c	46,810$24,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,944.67	68	42.6%29 W · 39 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed No	54c	45,999$24,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,839.69	71	29.6%21 W · 50 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes	46c	44,593$20,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,080.33	180	47.8%86 W · 94 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…a925backed Yes	49c	43,484$21,373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,111.2	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No	53c	43,399$23,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,001.6	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes	47c	41,842$19,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,176.24	34	26.5%9 W · 25 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked No	53c	40,658$21,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,548.74	78	51.3%40 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a2a…ce84backed Yes	49c	40,251$19,614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,636.94	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c1…4cf3backed Yes	47c	40,189$18,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,300.23	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	54c	40,000$21,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,524.98	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No	52c	40,000$20,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,899.93	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb63a…9ac3backed Yes	46c	38,000$17,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,520	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+36.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes	48c	34,537$16,560 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,976.38	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	13c	34,052$4,335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,334.86	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No	51c	34,000$17,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,419.98	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Yes	47c	33,000$15,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,490	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+2.3wins	+0.12per pick	30cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xac47…d234backed Yes	47c	33,000$15,510 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,490	210	29%61 W · 149 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ba7…f56bbacked No	54c	31,751$17,145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,145.35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	35cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No	1c	31,572$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.39	25	16%4 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b97…5e12backed Yes	46c	31,200$14,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,848	21	66.7%14 W · 7 L	+4.8wins	+0.23per pick	44cpaid	+70.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xf595…bfb5backed Yes	47c	30,000$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,800	107	36.4%39 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Yes	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,200	204	48%98 W · 106 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes	46c	30,000$13,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,200	96	42.7%41 W · 55 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?this page
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?No won
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will United States win on 2026-06-12?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event