Fifa International · resolved market
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3774cdf17e49143a4f6e10812df8b06113731493842fccc52dea045a1744ae61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,433,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,234,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,433,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 983 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e4c…dba2backed Yes | 31c | 3,821,329$1,179,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179,998.42 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 69c | 1,597,342$1,107,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490,087.45 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked No | 71c | 408,653$288,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120,473.26 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 69c | 300,954$207,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,295.62 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed No | 69c | 222,885$154,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,823.29 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 195,674$145,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,081.45 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed No | 69c | 191,504$132,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,366.34 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +140%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 69c | 173,209$119,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,694.94 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 69c | 108,625$74,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,673.74 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 69c | 98,847$68,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,642.53 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Yes | 3c | 84,437$2,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.6 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed No | 69c | 75,000$51,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,249.98 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 70c | 70,094$49,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,880.17 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 69c | 70,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.98 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 28c | 68,719$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79e…1fb0backed No | 71c | 60,697$43,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,602.18 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 1c | 53,688$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.67 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked No | 69c | 53,200$36,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,492 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 69c | 50,899$35,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,778.73 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 42,842$33,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,371.11 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 69c | 40,943$28,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,513.93 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 38,053$7,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,132.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 71c | 34,999$24,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,149.77 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 33,758$23,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,413.26 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed No | 69c | 32,500$22,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,075 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 29c | 32,059$9,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.66 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1171…98dcbacked No | 70c | 29,250$20,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,752.7 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 24,290$16,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,529.9 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…8daebacked No | 71c | 24,265$17,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,036.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1b86backed Yes | 7c | 24,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 11cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 78c | 22,954$17,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,052.36 | 244 | 41.8%102 W · 142 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 29c | 22,699$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,625.38 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…9ac4backed Yes | 5c | 22,521$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…04b2backed No | 69c | 21,011$14,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,513.41 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bef…5e49backed No | 69c | 20,875$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,471.25 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 20,020$13,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.2 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 69c | 18,888$13,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,855.28 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 18,567$5,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.11 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Yes | 2c | 17,678$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.8 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 95 | 3.2%3 W · 92 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 1cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 69c | 16,250$11,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…4960backed Yes | 31c | 16,129$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes | 2c | 15,317$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.34 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…a925backed Yes | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 20c | 14,624$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,913.05 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed No | 69c | 13,726$9,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,255.08 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked No | 70c | 13,489$9,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.71 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 13,392$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.65 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes | 0c | 13,226$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 69c | 12,000$8,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,720 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 17c | 11,127$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.64 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8f…938dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb85f…b9a0backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Yes | 29c | 9,466$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Yes | 19c | 9,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.99 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 14c | 8,831$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.36 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Yes | 1c | 8,403$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Yes | 30c | 8,333$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Yes | 1c | 8,295$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 11c | 7,860$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.47 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 30c | 6,957$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 69c | 6,266$4,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.45 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 71c | 6,118$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.16 | 307 | 51.1%157 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 3c | 6,018$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.44 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed No | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…ffd5backed Yes | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 70c | 5,781$4,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.3 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…bc77backed Yes | 1c | 5,682$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 70c | 5,657$3,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.82 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 28c | 5,407$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.32 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 70c | 5,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 5,000$3,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 80c | 4,900$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 4,894$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.75 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes | 2c | 4,850$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 69c | 4,800$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…a351backed Yes | 3c | 4,537$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 69c | 4,416$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.96 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 69c | 4,200$2,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 4,104$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.67 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd7…a01fbacked No | 69c | 3,900$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,846$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 3c | 3,724$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 73c | 3,709$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.38 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2a…1fcabacked No | 72c | 3,698$2,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035.4 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed No | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.13 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 9c | 3,601$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.5 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 69c | 3,600$2,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…0c3ebacked Yes | 7c | 3,600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Yes | 8c | 3,529$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.48 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked No | 72c | 3,500$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf89…6568backed Yes | 1c | 3,497$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 3,449$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.94 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2824…4aacbacked Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 109 | 21.1%23 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…9d40backed Yes | 7c | 3,326$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes | 19c | 3,282$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.06 | 265 | 34%90 W · 175 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?this page
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?No won
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.