TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x176f…cd75

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4427.3%12 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+11.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.91
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,181
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$973
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$1,217.88
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$467
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,389.83
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$210.68
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.22
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.92
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$274
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$703.85
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$463
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.5
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.13
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+348.6%+$1,004.03
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,171.74
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$721.74
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.53
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$3,684Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$5,437.29
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$214.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.8
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$578.2
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
All 4 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,275.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$4,998.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,471Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,471.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.