TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,292,832
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,874,726

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,292,832 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 2,079 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7225…659abacked Yes40c1,838,409$736,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736,520.742846.4%13 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes26c699,999$182,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,999.6815552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No61c633,133$384,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248,269.8974752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No62c493,910$306,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187,432.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86d2…731dbacked No74c284,635$210,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,005.147343.8%32 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c257,968$167,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,509.462,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No73c229,664$168,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61,447.1942541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No73c199,585$146,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,9056048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe221…06f6backed Yes27c177,777$48,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,999.798246.3%38 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c162,611$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.31468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Yes0c138,054$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.056929%20 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No73c134,110$97,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,209.5929952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6501…1220backed Yes27c107,825$29,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,4784667.4%31 W · 15 L+9.3wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+41.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No66c100,000$66,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,599.8417452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c90,182$21,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,781.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No59c85,949$50,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,333.231,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb451…d7b3backed No74c66,981$49,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,414.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes27c63,674$17,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,191.858521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No61c63,015$38,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,432.021,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c52,024$35,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,809.923,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes0c50,001$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked No74c49,999$36,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,249.8438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No60c49,022$29,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,379.4356541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked No74c47,761$35,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,417.864161%25 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab9…d821backed No73c46,000$33,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,4201770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No70c43,517$30,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,899.79948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x108e…b771backed Yes30c40,692$12,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,008.415930.5%18 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No73c40,500$29,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,934.94858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…18e7backed No64c40,419$25,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,649.3313037.7%49 W · 81 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-41.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c65…f19dbacked Yes0c40,357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No66c36,404$24,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.9624441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked No73c34,000$24,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,1804057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes26c33,917$8,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,761.533538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb46…fe05backed No73c31,600$23,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,5322254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9301…3b67backed Yes26c30,332$7,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,922.022236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x81d6…be2cbacked No73c28,974$21,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,822.87757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes30c27,687$8,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,223.345034%17 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed No73c25,743$18,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,851.7440239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad7d…251fbacked Yes0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Yes0c23,221$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.920224.3%49 W · 153 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c23,000$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Yes27c22,222$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e42…ee4ebacked Yes0c21,990$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick11cpaid+37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes0c20,694$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.699225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes0c20,618$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6226330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd86e…45cebacked No74c20,384$15,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.848856.8%50 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No78c20,182$15,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,415.7236939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c58…a5a1backed Yes27c20,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4002520%5 W · 20 L-4.7wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-59.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Yes26c20,000$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20013234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No73c20,000$14,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.8913959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed No73c19,750$14,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,332.53857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d67…ab42backed No73c19,600$14,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,291.92948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0569…f656backed No74c19,404$14,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,045.061861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Yes27c18,550$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.52842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes27c18,402$4,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,978.7513542.2%57 W · 78 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes24c17,980$4,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,245.2631945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No67c17,902$11,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,983.332,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked No64c17,634$11,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,325.4535034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No71c16,694$11,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.6215746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fce…e044backed Yes0c16,251$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-77.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes4c16,033$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.2375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf48…36c2backed No74c15,830$11,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.85349.1%26 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No72c15,825$11,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,472.992,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329f…0d3dbacked Yes0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c14,900$10,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,023.071,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No79c14,618$11,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.5431232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa55…fae5backed Yes27c14,244$3,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,803.132015%3 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes21c14,034$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004425%11 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x353c…01d9backed No74c13,469$9,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,501.873167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes30c13,467$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No65c13,115$8,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,622.1145039.6%178 W · 272 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes43c12,990$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.0217733.9%60 W · 117 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Yes33c12,880$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,20017443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2b…96cebacked Yes1c12,000$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102234.3%1 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109414.9%14 W · 80 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7841331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c10,000$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.967859%46 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31cb…a34bbacked Yes26c9,235$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.084936.7%18 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No73c9,180$6,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,478.64075%30 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed No58c8,784$5,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,696.816953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes21c8,665$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.0324443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1d…eb2ebacked No69c8,547$5,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,669.5814542.8%62 W · 83 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x323a…876fbacked Yes27c8,519$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30012035%42 W · 78 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Yes27c8,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29510752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes27c8,400$2,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26810224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes23c8,376$1,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.1433337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked No66c8,044$5,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,726.5311133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ad…fd81backed Yes2c8,041$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.463520%7 W · 28 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes26c8,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0808325.3%21 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-28.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Yes26c8,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No73c8,000$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.9847144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No47c8,000$3,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,219.967269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No73c7,818$5,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,110.795851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked No74c7,757$5,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.910849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Yes27c7,694$2,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.397152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes27c7,225$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.697133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes26c7,000$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.