Fifa International · resolved market
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6f040d202cefefe47bdc9d192303905418223fec440f96eb2abe98f3b701bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,817,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,632,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,817,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,412 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 3c | 1,899,935$63,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,550.96 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked No | 80c | 483,165$386,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386,274.03 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 317,186$76,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240,934 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Yes | 23c | 271,902$63,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,463.61 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 79c | 188,780$148,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148,481.09 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…9d59backed No | 79c | 180,000$143,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,035.24 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 78c | 152,149$118,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,443.92 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 21c | 140,352$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,351.89 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 139,171$55,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,297.37 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Yes | 17c | 103,333$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,333.33 | 263 | 20.5%54 W · 209 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 68c | 91,248$61,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,720.62 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 75c | 89,904$67,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,103.97 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 34c | 73,912$24,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,150.69 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 21c | 72,066$15,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,897.29 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yes | 74c | 69,728$51,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,150.39 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 61,733$12,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,555.15 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…0abdbacked No | 80c | 60,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0288…e926backed Yes | 18c | 57,163$10,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,607.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed No | 2c | 56,658$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.61 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…b771backed Yes | 29c | 54,044$15,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,278.92 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 24c | 52,765$12,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,900.17 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e4…c771backed Yes | 23c | 52,000$12,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,939.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 55c | 51,089$27,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,240.59 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Yes | 18c | 49,806$9,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,592.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 78c | 49,318$38,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,307.95 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Yes | 20c | 48,289$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,770.67 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 75c | 44,767$33,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,334.93 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed No | 73c | 43,601$31,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,757.68 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked No | 1c | 42,900$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Yes | 67c | 37,398$25,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,263.9 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 19c | 35,954$6,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,026.15 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 4c | 33,881$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.21 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Yes | 18c | 30,757$5,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,220.42 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked No | 80c | 30,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Yes | 35c | 27,082$9,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,566.22 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…a88dbacked Yes | 65c | 26,064$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,064.37 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -6.6wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes | 20c | 25,276$4,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,314.92 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed No | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 20c | 23,281$4,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,580.68 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 2c | 23,082$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.65 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ea…150fbacked Yes | 22c | 22,816$5,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,747.56 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked No | 2c | 22,709$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.09 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 53c | 22,560$12,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,519.31 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a6…6520backed Yes | 20c | 22,381$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,880.95 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 50c | 22,237$11,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.63 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed No | 0c | 22,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 216 | 40.7%88 W · 128 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed No | 34c | 21,665$7,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.2 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.3wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0c…7992backed Yes | 68c | 21,197$14,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,796.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Yes | 20c | 20,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Yes | 22c | 19,984$4,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,587.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 20c | 19,279$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,423.36 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 54c | 18,682$10,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,518.61 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…2523backed Yes | 55c | 18,081$10,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.69 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b87…d7aabacked Yes | 24c | 17,501$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,242.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked No | 0c | 16,699$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 37c | 16,317$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,286.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe719…b74dbacked Yes | 21c | 15,930$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,624.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Yes | 18c | 15,909$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,032.79 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…650cbacked No | 56c | 15,772$8,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,885.6 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Yes | 20c | 15,600$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,480 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked No | 1c | 15,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked Yes | 18c | 14,659$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,020.11 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 5c | 14,571$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.83 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49eb…cf37backed Yes | 23c | 14,458$3,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,134.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 1c | 14,286$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…c3bbbacked Yes | 22c | 13,636$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,636.36 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…3721backed Yes | 14c | 13,571$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,671.43 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…03bbbacked Yes | 75c | 13,273$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,272.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked Yes | 32c | 13,263$4,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,014.12 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 17c | 13,263$2,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,993.4 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 58c | 12,655$7,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 74c | 12,647$9,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,309.81 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Yes | 30c | 12,599$3,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,847.56 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…07f0backed Yes | 14c | 12,509$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,809.43 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5afe…af69backed No | 80c | 12,500$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Yes | 20c | 12,500$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 130 | 36.2%47 W · 83 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebf…f3c5backed Yes | 20c | 12,261$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,861.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +155.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Yes | 19c | 12,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,720 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 20c | 11,923$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,538.4 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…9b21backed Yes | 28c | 11,889$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,600.07 | 253 | 39.5%100 W · 153 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 52c | 11,875$6,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,651.09 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked No | 80c | 11,826$9,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,460.5 | 335 | 49%164 W · 171 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 20c | 11,346$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,074.75 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…e02abacked Yes | 20c | 11,090$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,871.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38d…1ba6backed Yes | 18c | 10,912$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,997.55 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…6594backed Yes | 31c | 10,598$3,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,343.24 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…77c6backed Yes | 20c | 10,470$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,375.88 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +13.4wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 1c | 10,385$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 24c | 10,275$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,786.19 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 79c | 10,256$8,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,127.19 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abd…855dbacked Yes | 20c | 10,250$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…0424backed Yes | 28c | 10,237$2,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,365.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…5458backed Yes | 23c | 10,088$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802.92 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Yes | 20c | 10,025$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,025.06 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 80c | 10,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Yes | 19c | 10,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,100 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,000 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked No | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 347 | 31.1%108 W · 239 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?No won
- Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.