TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9032…8717

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup Finals: Coin Toss Resultbacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,153.04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,709.96
Will a Goal be Scored During 76-90 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+152.3%+$73.29
Will a Goal be Scored During 16-30 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$22.42
Will a Goal be Scored During 31-45 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$86.29
Will a Goal be Scored During 61-75 Minute?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60.12
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18,381Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$5,851.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,499.99
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10,000
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$8,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,599.89
Spread: England (-3.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,102.41
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$5,438Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$12,104.76
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+118.6%+$16,275
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$3,494.6
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,804Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$1,200.89
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16,564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16,563.96
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15,025Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$14,974.95
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75.69
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,931Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$3,058.77
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,441.51
Dani Olmo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.52
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$3,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,200
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,699Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,698.85
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27,346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$12,233.98
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$8,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,112.16
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.78
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12,323Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+716%+$88,237.78
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 133.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,046.37
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,281.49
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$5,605Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$1,744.9
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$6,278.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10,317Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,316.62
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$57,007Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$17,028.19
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,600
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,568Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,698.47
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$56.61
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,239.62
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,865Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,865.38
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$7,264.28
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,533Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$2,433.47
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,022.48
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.42
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18,235.07
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16,089Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$5,419.24
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$9,766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,766.43
Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)backed Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.87
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$8,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$7,430.48
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$3,674Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+344.1%+$12,641.02
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.27
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.86
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$285.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,587Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35%+$555.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$4,347Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,346.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.