MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418a68611a58f40dfabc60e87d69ec64245af2e847b8e6bd52b8ee1e05b0806f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Minnesota Twins, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $498,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $654,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $498,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 114,040$69,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,833.7 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 33,997$13,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,180.85 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 32,549$13,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,074.41 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 31,211$12,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,484.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 30,167$23,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,107.28 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 28,293$11,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,034.46 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Minnesota Twins | 30c | 14,787$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,404.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Minnesota Twins | 31c | 12,667$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.2 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 8,304$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.62 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 7,957$3,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,132.72 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 7,879$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.88 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kansas City Royals | 76c | 6,778$5,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.23 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Kansas City Royals | 71c | 4,172$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.18 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 66c | 4,075$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 27c | 3,776$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Minnesota Twins | 29c | 3,597$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.95 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c1…5177backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 3,482$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 3,164$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.78 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 2,937$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 2,912$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,335.42 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Minnesota Twins | 37c | 2,759$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.51 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Minnesota Twins | 16c | 2,631$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.73 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 2,143$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 2,028$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.17 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,980$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.98 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Minnesota Twins | 11c | 1,951$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.69 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,934$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.48 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,859$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.24 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Kansas City Royals | 72c | 1,782$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,713$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.04 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20be…d8dabacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 1,628$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,484$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.62 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,467$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.29 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed Kansas City Royals | 71c | 1,393$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Minnesota Twins | 28c | 1,353$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.76 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b6…159dbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 1,353$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 1,253$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac35…a625backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 1,231$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfba…80ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 1,158$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.64 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Minnesota Twins | 3c | 998.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…b0e1backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 985.6$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 980.94$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Minnesota Twins | 24c | 955.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Minnesota Twins | 11c | 903.75$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.41 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 893.35$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.69 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 809.18$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 794.3$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.66 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 739$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 728.15$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.76 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kansas City Royals | 60c | 705.81$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.28 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Minnesota Twins | 10c | 690.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 42c | 680.19$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.18 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 679.34$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 678.71$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.54 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 677.7$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.74 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 634.81$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.24 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Minnesota Twins | 41c | 626.22$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.23 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 618.05$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.04 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…5169backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 616.27$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.51 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…94a7backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 594.43$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Kansas City Royals | 56c | 576.12$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.53 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 572.92$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Minnesota Twins | 23c | 531.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.19 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…335bbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 494.97$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 490.93$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Minnesota Twins | 42c | 483.32$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.33 | 352 | 45.5%160 W · 192 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Kansas City Royals | 63c | 469.59$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Minnesota Twins | 34c | 457.71$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.58 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 427.75$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 59c | 418.06$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Minnesota Twins | 15c | 404.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 381.57$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Kansas City Royals | 73c | 374.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Minnesota Twins | 31c | 373.65$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea75…ae99backed Kansas City Royals | 60c | 365.66$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Minnesota Twins | 26c | 360.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5e…81ffbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 349.15$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Minnesota Twins | 25c | 348.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 347.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Kansas City Royals | 73c | 347.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.42 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 74c | 345.27$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.72 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 344.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Kansas City Royals | 61c | 340.96$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Minnesota Twins | 28c | 338.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5281…be82backed Minnesota Twins | 9c | 330.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 327.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 324.26$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.7 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Kansas City Royals | 61c | 323.19$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Minnesota Twins | 40c | 322.78$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 320.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Minnesota Twins | 39c | 307.37$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.24 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Kansas City Royals | 59c | 300.66$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Minnesota Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsthis page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.