MLB · resolved market
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15a3c38a4cbb74bfd29418bb9e87823139bb7e9cf594424a3444da8a4bd91a36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $135,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 78,901$36,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,618.83 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Over | 48c | 20,020$9,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,609.98 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 18,930$10,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,261.13 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 54c | 14,575$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.56 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 52c | 10,261$5,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.23 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Over | 56c | 6,605$3,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.54 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 54c | 5,846$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,144.65 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 5,606$2,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.27 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 4,817$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.68 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Over | 54c | 4,348$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 53c | 4,240$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,261.12 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…1e98backed Under | 48c | 4,104$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 3,771$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.66 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 2,984$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 55c | 2,970$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.72 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 52c | 2,056$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.11 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 1,810$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.99 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 53c | 1,546$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.63 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa97…b225backed Under | 52c | 1,478$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.22 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 54c | 1,472$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.67 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 53c | 1,268$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.04 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 54c | 1,189$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.31 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 1,021$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.11 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 1,018$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.45 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Under | 50c | 908.36$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.54 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 54c | 902.44$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.32 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 892.39$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.73 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 54c | 827.94$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.09 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 45c | 699.8$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.89 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 46c | 593.42$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.03 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 51c | 537.01$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.81 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 525.92$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 53c | 492.53$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.04 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 54c | 483.43$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.05 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 54c | 476.48$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.3 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 53c | 468.41$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.27 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Over | 54c | 467.92$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Over | 56c | 443.69$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4e…e935backed Under | 46c | 433.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 54c | 431.29$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.9 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 54c | 421.35$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.53 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Under | 48c | 394.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 48c | 394.01$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Over | 54c | 364.83$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.01 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 351.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 310.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.47 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 48c | 294.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.51 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 288.38$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 62c | 264.59$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 54c | 246.27$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 51c | 210.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 48c | 205.21$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 52c | 189.43$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.93 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Over | 53c | 185.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.51 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 55c | 182.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 54c | 171.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.83 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 49c | 163.51$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 160.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 155.59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 53c | 142.21$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe813…3d19backed Under | 47c | 138.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 128.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Under | 45c | 110$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…b6d0backed Under | 47c | 104.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Under | 51c | 98.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 54c | 94.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Over | 54c | 91.19$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.24 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 52c | 85.24$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 60c | 85.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…2413backed Over | 55c | 80.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.33 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Under | 47c | 73.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 69.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Over | 39c | 67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Under | 52c | 59.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 57.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 54c | 57.18$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Over | 53c | 55.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 52c | 52.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 54c | 50.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 62c | 49.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…2ec4backed Under | 55c | 49.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 54c | 45.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked Over | 54c | 44.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…e905backed Under | 46c | 42.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Under | 46c | 42.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked Under | 52c | 38.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…06b3backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over | 54c | 36.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 51c | 35.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 35.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd549…f0d4backed Under | 46c | 32.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked Over | 53c | 31.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…2afcbacked Under | 47c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 45c | 30.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 30.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5this page
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsKansas City Royals won
- Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5Under won
- NRFI: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City RoyalsYes won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.