TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea75…ae99

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
162
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.85
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$76.75
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48.07
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$184Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$61.32
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$104.44
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$114.26
Trail Blazers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.59
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.52
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.2
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.08
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$138.6
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$193.05
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$155
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$160
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.88
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$51.6
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$65.8
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.55
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.8
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$92.49
Grizzlies vs. Netsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.72
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.88
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$112.2
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+75.4%+$129
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.6
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.74
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$61.29
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$13.12
Will Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.66
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.5%+$16.95
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$126
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+59.6%+$160.55
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$155.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$344Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$154.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+44.9%+$232.5
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$405Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$345
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.32
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$101.99
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.16
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$176
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Rooster (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffsbacked Ground Zero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.2
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$58.9
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.7
Counter-Strike: B8 vs NRG (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.38
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$129.6
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$96
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$219.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+58.7%+$110.63
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$203.12
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$512
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$442Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+51.5%+$227.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.95
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$131.91
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$82.68
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.28
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$71.5
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$121.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+69.2%+$136.33
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+47.7%+$14.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$295
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$687Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$518.15
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$434
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$453.53
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.37
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.4
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$49
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.48
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+69.1%+$95.39
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$210
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$358.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$179.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+127.3%+$372.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.93
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.53
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$60.8
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$58.36
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.16
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.85
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$101.74
LoL: Natus Vincere vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$74
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$118.66
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 1backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$127.71
LoL: SK Gaming vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Group Stagebacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$130.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$185.61
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$230
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$164.78
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Bbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$88.38
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$83.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.12
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$122.15
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$352
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+35.1%+$156
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$432Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$168
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$498.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$153.7
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.3%+$79.81
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.46
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$126.05
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.68
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$52.96
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Saint Mary's Gaels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.8
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$40.32
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Prairie View A&M Panthersbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.59
All 5 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$134.38
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$94
Lightning vs. Maple Leafsbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+53.8%+$122.5
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$206.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.44
Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$146.26
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.82
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Czechia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.85
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+103.9%+$98.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+67.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$67.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.