Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b9641e131b88536fcb5d72a9db62bafc6633d27ffc8c2c1fd4e94d2a6a7093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $704,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 516 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 47c | 170,917$80,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,856.07 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 46c | 147,525$67,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,025.45 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Aurora | 56c | 98,290$55,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,037.41 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 53c | 43,892$23,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,262.65 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Aurora | 56c | 35,120$19,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,566.27 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 55c | 33,272$18,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,242.71 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Aurora | 55c | 26,541$14,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,566.76 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Aurora | 30c | 24,415$7,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,277.14 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 56c | 20,000$11,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,200 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Aurora | 55c | 19,889$10,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,938.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PARIVISION | 70c | 18,860$13,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,658 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Aurora | 30c | 16,333$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Aurora | 55c | 15,000$8,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Aurora | 56c | 14,921$8,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,355.93 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 55c | 13,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed PARIVISION | 44c | 12,500$5,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,997.89 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 10,272$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,271.53 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Aurora | 30c | 8,200$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,470.4 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora | 54c | 8,178$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Aurora | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 7,192$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.84 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 6,978$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.62 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…6ca0backed Aurora | 56c | 6,831$3,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,825.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445f…07d4backed PARIVISION | 56c | 6,500$3,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,834.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 6,429$4,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Aurora | 55c | 5,656$3,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 44c | 5,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,084.87 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Aurora | 1c | 5,100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed PARIVISION | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Aurora | 18c | 4,948$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.07 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked PARIVISION | 44c | 4,803$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,682.93 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora | 51c | 4,226$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.17 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Aurora | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…ce64backed Aurora | 20c | 3,500$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Aurora | 18c | 2,955$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,934$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.03 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Aurora | 56c | 2,926$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.19 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Aurora | 56c | 2,821$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Aurora | 55c | 2,500$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.44 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 2,437$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 52c | 2,400$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,338$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.5 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 2,323$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.24 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 45c | 2,274$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.39 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Aurora | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.76 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed PARIVISION | 70c | 2,172$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.39 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked PARIVISION | 67c | 2,148$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.12 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 2,087$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.42 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 49c | 2,019$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…f2d4backed Aurora | 55c | 2,005$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.99 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,988$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.67 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8c…df3bbacked Aurora | 35c | 1,972$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 1,917$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Aurora | 55c | 1,820$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed Aurora | 55c | 1,808$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Aurora | 56c | 1,787$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.72 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora | 54c | 1,778$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.12 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Aurora | 57c | 1,770$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,765$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.69 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed PARIVISION | 46c | 1,721$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Aurora | 55c | 1,430$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.21 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Aurora | 55c | 1,374$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.43 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.64 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,342$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.92 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Aurora | 56c | 1,270$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.59 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,230$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Aurora | 41c | 1,225$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Aurora | 55c | 1,214$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.71 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Aurora | 56c | 1,182$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.42 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,178$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.38 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…d205backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,154$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Aurora | 50c | 1,128$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.75 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Aurora | 54c | 1,107$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.53 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Aurora | 55c | 1,089$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.33 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,034$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.81 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Aurora | 30c | 1,012$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…8e7ebacked PARIVISION | 68c | 1,001$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Aurora | 46c | 1,000$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 206 | 42.2%87 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Aurora | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Aurora | 56c | 999.97$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.99 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 999.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.97 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION | 50c | 998.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a2…0020backed Aurora | 53c | 943.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 42c | 911.95$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Aurora | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 899.99$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.05 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Aurora | 41c | 899.99$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed PARIVISION | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…17febacked Aurora | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Aurora | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 857.3$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.04 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora | 59c | 848.2$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.