Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0391cd0e3c25e8ccd17c0c32999f728a1267c919d1d4c4b79e11f904374e0292
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $698,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $809,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $698,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 50c | 122,361$61,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,360.85 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9750…263dbacked Aurora | 55c | 63,727$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Aurora | 49c | 55,593$27,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,015.19 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Aurora | 18c | 45,465$8,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,177.88 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Aurora | 49c | 25,939$12,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,702.59 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed PARIVISION | 50c | 19,771$9,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,885.5 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora | 50c | 19,111$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,555.5 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 12c | 15,200$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.78 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 15,000$6,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,150 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed PARIVISION | 52c | 14,184$7,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.82 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 2c | 13,638$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.49 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora | 49c | 13,203$6,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,409.39 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,222.16 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 48c | 9,112$4,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,362.6 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed PARIVISION | 44c | 9,000$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,995 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed PARIVISION | 50c | 8,987$4,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524.25 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Aurora | 52c | 8,099$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.3 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.99 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 44c | 7,650$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,394.92 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed PARIVISION | 45c | 7,293$3,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…ee57backed Aurora | 43c | 6,772$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.61 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 47c | 6,700$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 5,852$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.7 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed PARIVISION | 47c | 5,753$2,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,063.75 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…c336backed Aurora | 26c | 5,703$1,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.72 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Aurora | 29c | 5,663$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.81 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Aurora | 10c | 5,437$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.97 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed PARIVISION | 55c | 5,231$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Aurora | 3c | 5,200$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed PARIVISION | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.98 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…438abacked PARIVISION | 59c | 4,837$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,991.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,598$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.94 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aurora | 45c | 4,282$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.31 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Aurora | 2c | 4,106$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.51 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed Aurora | 49c | 4,080$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.63 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Aurora | 1c | 4,050$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Aurora | 51c | 4,000$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.99 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 42c | 3,898$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.53 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 3,860$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.62 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 34c | 3,798$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.86 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Aurora | 41c | 3,679$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.76 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 47c | 3,124$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.33 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.95 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 49c | 2,948$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.51 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f78…b642backed Aurora | 3c | 2,850$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 2,795$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed PARIVISION | 74c | 2,540$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.57 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,355$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.35 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 46c | 2,293$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.18 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Aurora | 2c | 2,111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Aurora | 48c | 2,106$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.09 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Aurora | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Aurora | 1c | 2,027$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Aurora | 26c | 2,004$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.69 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…d205backed Aurora | 26c | 2,000$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Aurora | 52c | 1,922$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora | 32c | 1,876$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.25 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 1,748$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.74 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…3da4backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,717$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.96 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Aurora | 11c | 1,703$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…d45fbacked Aurora | 1c | 1,700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Aurora | 11c | 1,700$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked Aurora | 51c | 1,621$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.35 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 8c | 1,600$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.08 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 49c | 1,577$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.73 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Aurora | 29c | 1,500$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed PARIVISION | 49c | 1,495$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.93 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Aurora | 50c | 1,429$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.16 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 48c | 1,417$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.84 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Aurora | 6c | 1,369$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,318$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.72 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Aurora | 48c | 1,318$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.08 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Aurora | 4c | 1,300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Aurora | 48c | 1,296$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.04 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,289$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.44 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 49c | 1,241$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.88 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,233$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.49 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…bc3cbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,227$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…33d3backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,200$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.45 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed Aurora | 8c | 1,200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.7 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Aurora | 50c | 1,170$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.03 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 50c | 1,156$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.09 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,125$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.53 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Aurora | 50c | 1,081$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Aurora | 32c | 1,044$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.07 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,037$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Aurora | 50c | 1,020$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.61 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION | 51c | 1,000$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.53 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,000$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Aurora | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed PARIVISION | 75c | 964.36$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.85 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.