TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdff0…f573

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
523
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: NHL, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 58 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT34146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 341 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.54
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+37%+$34.15
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$526.67
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.38
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$743.91
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$480
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$258.16
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$250.76
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$752
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,746Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,746.18
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.19
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$2,400.15
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,277.75
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$506Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.21
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$652.86
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$699.85
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$843.16
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$282.67
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,634Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,633.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,973Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$943.55
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,915Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+171.3%+$6,707.39
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,391
Showing 25 of 341 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT8150.6%41 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,048Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,048.38
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$6,692Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,692
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,070
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,897
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+235.9%+$2,106.15
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,355Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$2,333.79
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,519Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+99.1%+$6,458.5
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,493Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,683.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,254Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+109.7%+$4,668.59
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$2,222.25
Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$2,771.24
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,485Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$914.9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$514Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$307.52
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+82%+$734
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,283Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$2,927.14
Game Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Tundra Esports (+1.5)backed Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$845Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+167.3%+$1,413.73
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$2,000.11
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,543.79
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs PlayTime (+1.5)backed PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,553Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$836.13
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$1,484
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)backed Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$949
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61%+$1,510.2
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+277.2%+$970.35
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$756
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT4139%16 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$2,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,019.96
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,524Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,524.16
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,787Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,018.17
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$868
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$548
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$391Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$391
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$422.9
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.87
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$113.01
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.97
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Suns vs. Raptorsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.35
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$118.28
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Raptors vs. Heatbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+190.8%+$305.28
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+104.5%+$160.96
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+244.8%+$175.17
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$99
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+88.7%+$298.85
Suns vs. Timberwolvesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+150.8%+$473.62
Kings vs. Pacersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST2010%2 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.5
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$18.27
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$21.35
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in December 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$43.81
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$27.42
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$41.48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$47.13
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+669.2%+$304.5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$31.5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.44
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+640.7%+$302.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$97.65
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$45.5
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+67.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Starsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$119
Penguins vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Kings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+122.2%+$27.5
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Jets vs. Hurricanesbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$21.5
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+108.3%+$26
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+156.4%+$30.5
Senators vs. Bluesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+75.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$707.25
Spread: Ravens (-7.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+70.6%+$88.22
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+354.5%+$78
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$9.9
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$140
All 6 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$232
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$84
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$70.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$526.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.