TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$167,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$169,538

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8fbb…9a17backed Legacy70c52,773$36,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,026.4315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Legacy68c35,815$24,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,537.3614050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Team Falcons31c25,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,65076058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Legacy70c17,000$11,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,109.974654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Team Falcons29c13,302$3,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.592245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Legacy59c10,934$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,454.5912956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x888b…5d1abacked Team Falcons30c10,027$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.242626.9%7 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Team Falcons31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,10021251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy69c9,205$6,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,89141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Legacy70c7,636$5,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.7772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Falcons29c7,613$2,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,207.774235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy70c6,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,80071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked Team Falcons35c5,605$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9545536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x52a6…ab62backed Team Falcons31c5,584$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7314427.3%12 W · 32 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons29c4,797$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39134146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed Team Falcons48c4,210$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,020.362352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons45c3,570$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,617.764,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy70c3,500$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.0766851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Team Falcons31c3,377$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.7719643.4%85 W · 111 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed Team Falcons31c2,683$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.772425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Team Falcons50c2,614$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30723249.1%114 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons30c2,400$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72031345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Team Falcons31c2,290$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.0513646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Legacy52c2,265$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080.6933043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Legacy70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66060248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Team Falcons30c2,027$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6009256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60018254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons28c2,000$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.5618846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Team Falcons32c1,588$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50826045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Team Falcons31c1,526$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.0914145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Falcons31c1,423$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.429839.3%117 W · 181 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Team Falcons49c1,200$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5883836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Team Falcons30c1,150$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34557641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Team Falcons29c1,033$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6324544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b50…1db2backed Team Falcons31c1,021$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.555950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Legacy72c1,010$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8627552%143 W · 132 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Legacy71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29026054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x932c…8658backed Team Falcons20c978.8$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.767243.1%31 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Legacy71c973.77$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.5422750.2%114 W · 113 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Team Falcons31c916.72$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.7227749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…ef07backed Team Falcons31c822.58$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25515448.7%75 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1866…1325backed Team Falcons31c790.81$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.158648.8%42 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Team Falcons31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21718338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed Legacy72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4420958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Team Falcons30c678.46$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.932653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Team Falcons30c655.28$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19732542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fe…64f3backed Team Falcons30c644.57$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.37425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid+230.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons26c623.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5385446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons36c559.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Falcons4c547.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.262,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Team Falcons31c510.35$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.2110339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Team Falcons30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Team Falcons32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16054732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Falcons32c468.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15031451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed Team Falcons30c460$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13839840.5%161 W · 237 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Team Falcons29c421.91$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Team Falcons31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Team Falcons29c400$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1165954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Legacy69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12410653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf48a…3594backed Team Falcons32c346.88$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Team Falcons31c323$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1327744.4%123 W · 154 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Team Falcons31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023842.4%101 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x732c…08dbbacked Team Falcons32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Team Falcons52c307.84$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16014744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Team Falcons29c306.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.896333.3%21 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Legacy71c300$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…9b43backed Legacy68c299.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.973537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Legacy69c299.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.9910251%52 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Team Falcons24c291.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9915850%79 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Legacy71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6927848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Legacy59c280.84$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.187,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy71c277.3$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.25,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Legacy74c269.93$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.9314563.4%92 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf035…0924backed Team Falcons29c268.93$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9942845.6%195 W · 233 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Legacy69c250.41$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7833354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed Team Falcons30c250.35$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.348740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Legacy70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7545244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8486…c0a9backed Team Falcons28c249.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Team Falcons44c245.69$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.291,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Legacy80c221.25$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.255570.9%39 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39e4…f089backed Team Falcons29c218$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2232138.3%123 W · 198 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Team Falcons30c213.4$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0229044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Team Falcons29c210.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9926344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed Team Falcons31c209.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85ab…4dc5backed Team Falcons48c205.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4513241.7%55 W · 77 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Team Falcons31c200.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.380740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Team Falcons29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5858343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Legacy70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6048242.1%203 W · 279 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Team Falcons30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6038954.5%212 W · 177 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe866…1a70backed Team Falcons51c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.845354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8feb…63fcbacked Team Falcons31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons32c195$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.417761%108 W · 69 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x320b…6057backed Team Falcons31c193.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602931%9 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-35.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc879…30a4backed Team Falcons30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x097a…259cbacked Team Falcons30c161.96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.