CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa5a423a3ef5fe725ac0ec5682fbf85033492d4be0153cd15ec947daf04fb361
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 59c | 6,322$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.15 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Over | 26c | 4,444$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 31c | 4,349$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.24 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 3,108$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.24 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 2,597$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.38 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Over | 18c | 1,773$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.14 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 30c | 1,435$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.72 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 69c | 1,321$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.61 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 69c | 1,198$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 70c | 1,171$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.3 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Under | 68c | 1,127$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.43 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 32c | 963.6$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.35 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…f559backed Over | 24c | 818.5$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.44 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 69c | 683.14$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 68c | 543.15$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.31 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Under | 69c | 493.98$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.98 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 31c | 410$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.1 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 68c | 341.61$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 166 | 48.2%80 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Under | 68c | 324.63$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.88 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Over | 69c | 319.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 67c | 280$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…1ec0backed Under | 39c | 273.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 69c | 267.35$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0a…b7a2backed Over | 38c | 230.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…20b3backed Over | 24c | 221.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Under | 73c | 206.79$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 70c | 192.64$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 68c | 174.31$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 33c | 154.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 70c | 146.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.82 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd8…7b1dbacked Over | 33c | 136.25$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Over | 19c | 95.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Under | 74c | 85.79$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 19c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f39…28dabacked Under | 66c | 79.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 24c | 76.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Under | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Over | 18c | 72.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Under | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b9…cea8backed Under | 65c | 58.28$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 59c | 53.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed Over | 47c | 53.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 67c | 49.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Over | 47c | 42.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed Over | 32c | 38.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 38.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Over | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 69c | 35.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Under | 37c | 29.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -6.2wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 65c | 29.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 68c | 27.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…e4a4backed Under | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 70c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7983…c138backed Over | 64c | 17.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.39per pick | 68cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships PlayoffsLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.