TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,831
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,641

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,831 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5e6e…be00backed Over66c23,501$15,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,95741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Over53c8,319$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,949.1733043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under34c8,250$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8052245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…4879backed Under34c7,963$2,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,707.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over66c7,551$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,554.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under33c5,653$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,888.174,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under40c5,603$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,239.683,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Under48c5,555$2,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,666.3721251.4%109 W · 103 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16af…2cf0backed Under33c3,467$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over59c3,232$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.062,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9917045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over66c2,500$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9717853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Over53c2,354$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.412956.6%73 W · 56 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Over54c2,022$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.591,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under46c1,932$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.765,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under34c1,907$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.3764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under46c1,735$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.5266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under34c1,529$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52523732.9%78 W · 159 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under46c1,367$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.362,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Under34c1,278$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.5448240%193 W · 289 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Over53c1,270$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.7214050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over58c1,235$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.251,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over56c1,099$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.7925747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over66c1,065$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.192,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…f559backed Under48c947.54$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7414145.4%64 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc139…2b59backed Over65c769.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Under47c750$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35513240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under34c703.93$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.3413952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0353…c79cbacked Over69c649.4$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.21060%6 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed Under34c617.65$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfe…5439backed Under34c602.94$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2051752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under38c588.65$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.136654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Over66c541$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.94666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1522…70febacked Over66c533.33$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3336645.6%167 W · 199 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefb8…135cbacked Over76c526.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.381145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked Under34c504.87$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.46639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over56c503$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.732,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0e…6afdbacked Under34c500.16$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.051361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.22per pick39cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17060848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1708143.2%35 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under34c499.98$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed Under33c473.19$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.155251.9%27 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over53c466.28$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.1518261.5%112 W · 70 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under34c458.82$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15628549.5%141 W · 144 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under33c414.31$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7219543.6%85 W · 110 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.364158.5%24 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed Under34c372.49$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6544343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Over56c357.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2911354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Under34c350.24$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.580740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over55c323.09$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.8516047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under34c312.34$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5638848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed Under48c304.75$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2831647.5%150 W · 166 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9949849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Over67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999863.3%62 W · 36 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae4…9b43backed Over66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023537.1%13 W · 22 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcfec…b0edbacked Under34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd71c…20b3backed Under47c282.08$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.910339.8%41 W · 62 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Under48c257.48$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.5940141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Under34c256$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0413556.3%76 W · 59 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Under34c251.06$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3645450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over67c249.99$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51,14643.5%499 W · 647 L-17.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over54c249.98$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.991,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e67…8b45backed Over67c234.33$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3312252.5%64 W · 58 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under38c223.84$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6816648.2%80 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Over65c218$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.358254.3%316 W · 266 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under44c214.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8645238.3%173 W · 279 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Over64c213.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.1733354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f56…b78ebacked Under34c211.5$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.914447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a1e…c023backed Under34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6818148.6%88 W · 93 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed Under48c179.17$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869046.7%42 W · 48 L-7.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f7a…0f82backed Under34c171$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.142536%9 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Under30c162.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1815850%79 W · 79 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a5…534cbacked Under34c158.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5414639%57 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Under34c155$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.727554.9%151 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under48c153.97$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9191743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1791…3e87backed Under47c151.55$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9939946.4%185 W · 214 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over50c150$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7534036.5%124 W · 216 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over68c145.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.781540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over56c142.93$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3421949.8%109 W · 110 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over52c138.3$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.971,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under34c137$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1854348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under34c134$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0228455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78fd…4b88backed Under34c132.35$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Under33c129.64$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5488242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.649242.1%207 W · 285 L-17.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55b5…1ec0backed Under51c119.58$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.57633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Over66c118$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1274054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under39c117.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8958745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under36c115$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6340635.7%145 W · 261 L-33.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Over66c105.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+42.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8d64…9190backed Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked Over67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.522454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under45c84.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.511,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under29c80.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3417756.5%100 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.43,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Over52c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4817849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebd…6dc0backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7613767.9%93 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under43c74$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6431440.1%126 W · 188 L-17.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…3518backed Over66c71.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.246253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Over73c70.42$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.015556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.