TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Legacyof Team Falcons, Legacy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$192,154

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,766 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa7df…5eeebacked Legacy42c20,000$8,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,624.9216245.1%73 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Team Falcons58c17,500$10,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,149.9950054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c8d…65e7backed Legacy42c17,000$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,9004654.3%25 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons57c16,620$9,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,395.843,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Legacy40c16,615$6,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,008.6841649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Legacy53c15,000$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,0508043.8%35 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons57c12,277$6,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,960.594,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Falcons58c11,249$6,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,524.6421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Legacy39c11,111$4,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,777.6815947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Team Falcons60c10,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Legacy41c9,000$3,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,309.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3837…c6b0backed Team Falcons61c8,200$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,002425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-66.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Team Falcons48c7,569$3,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,626.1592456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Legacy44c7,007$3,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,923.7278639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Legacy42c7,000$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,059.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Team Falcons60c6,152$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,700.2336453.8%196 W · 168 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Legacy37c6,007$2,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,784.712254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Team Falcons59c5,957$3,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.4310635.8%38 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Legacy40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Legacy51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.9920251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x078f…796cbacked Team Falcons57c4,970$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8505536.4%20 W · 35 L-7.8wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-34.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Legacy43c3,516$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,004.1460248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons57c3,512$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Legacy42c3,500$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,03019346.1%89 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d7f…2ae7backed Team Falcons56c3,248$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.8810151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Legacy42c3,212$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.7233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Team Falcons59c3,011$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,774.1420743%89 W · 118 L-14.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb20b…a3e1backed Team Falcons54c2,701$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.693836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Legacy40c2,611$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,562.822,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed Team Falcons49c2,245$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1004546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Team Falcons48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9918254.9%100 W · 82 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Team Falcons55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9818846.3%87 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Legacy42c1,877$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,095.581,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Legacy51c1,870$962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.742,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5593…2cd1backed Team Falcons60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009256.5%52 W · 40 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Legacy41c1,600$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.9924935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Legacy40c1,527$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.4920249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d6…4404backed Team Falcons48c1,500$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.8364058.1%372 W · 268 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy42c1,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.991,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Legacy38c1,483$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.4514847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked Legacy35c1,376$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.2813351.1%68 W · 65 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Team Falcons58c1,250$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.777940.5%32 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69b9…a5d5backed Legacy33c1,194$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.311354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons61c1,158$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.2781751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Team Falcons59c1,157$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.636747.8%32 W · 35 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed Team Falcons61c1,042$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.8854732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Team Falcons57c1,018$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.4726251.1%134 W · 128 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons52c1,015$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.441,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Team Falcons58c1,013$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.448845.7%223 W · 265 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Team Falcons59c979.12$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.685347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfffe…4e6cbacked Team Falcons61c978.55$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.7127749.5%137 W · 140 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Team Falcons57c973.56$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.922653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Legacy37c968.34$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.6725747.5%122 W · 135 L+1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Team Falcons58c888$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.0412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab12…764ebacked Team Falcons58c876.9$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.122266.7%148 W · 74 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Team Falcons72c827$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.273250%16 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Falcons59c809.96$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.8826549.1%130 W · 135 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Team Falcons61c801.64$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48939157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Legacy41c749.95$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.4710352.4%54 W · 49 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Falcons51c700$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35976748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dd1…7918backed Team Falcons54c683.96$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.341747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Team Falcons59c683.7$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x732c…08dbbacked Team Falcons59c681.18$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009147.3%43 W · 48 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Team Falcons60c679.83$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.056654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Team Falcons60c676.1$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.6660853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1393…ba33backed Legacy58c666.94$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.9416546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Team Falcons59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35413252.3%69 W · 63 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee72…1996backed Team Falcons60c588$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.83145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa272…797abacked Team Falcons60c568.33$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3414841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce74…bd9abacked Team Falcons58c546.55$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…3303backed Team Falcons61c526.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3213043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Team Falcons58c521.9$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.72850%14 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Team Falcons60c516.04$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6246555.1%256 W · 209 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Legacy40c500$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.742,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Legacy40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010451.9%54 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Legacy46c489.13$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.1327848.6%135 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Team Falcons58c478.53$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5530259.3%179 W · 123 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5b7…1454backed Legacy42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.1914743.5%64 W · 83 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy42c461.36$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.65,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa949…7f5bbacked Legacy45c444.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7122243.7%97 W · 125 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b87…6a47backed Team Falcons58c428.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013059.2%77 W · 53 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Legacy35c428.57$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.577546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x252b…a2c9backed Team Falcons59c422$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.984551.1%23 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Legacy45c415.29$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.5720353.2%108 W · 95 L+1.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Legacy46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2165,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Team Falcons61c396.72$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked Team Falcons58c390$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.219954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed Team Falcons57c385.96$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons51c369.98$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7985446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb27d…3cc3backed Team Falcons57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016254.3%88 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Team Falcons60c349.55$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.7316650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Legacy42c340$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.345244.5%201 W · 251 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Team Falcons61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Team Falcons66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Legacy42c300$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17410653.8%57 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cd2…f5c4backed Team Falcons61c275$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.752661.5%16 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b81…88e7backed Team Falcons56c273.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.245556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Team Falcons57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505438.9%21 W · 33 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked Team Falcons58c260.6$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1510644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.