TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa272…797a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$265.12
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.99
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$943.99
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$341
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 3 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.87
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$244.82
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$178.14
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$353.2
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$349.57
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$532.19
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.92
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$83.54
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.89
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.19
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.68
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.11
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$31
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$207
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$213.26
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$141.43
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$221.63
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.88
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-34.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$209.66
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$143.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.36
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$52.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+160.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+160.4%+$146.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$625
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.