Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8214174233d57aa2fab1b70cc6d946541072108908727732d84aee3010902bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $198,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $214,192
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $198,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 56c | 22,089$12,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,647.89 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed No | 4c | 12,785$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.44 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 28c | 10,348$2,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,491.32 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 59c | 10,309$6,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,053.65 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 12c | 9,119$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,052.41 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 53c | 5,042$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.89 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 76c | 2,917$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.4 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7168…e537backed No | 65c | 2,842$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 9c | 2,775$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.25 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed No | 71c | 2,692$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.14 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 22c | 2,460$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.87 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 23c | 2,297$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.19 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked No | 13c | 1,900$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.2 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 56c | 1,500$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$847.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19fc…b4e3backed No | 70c | 1,356$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.24 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 58c | 1,312$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.73 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a60…cc65backed Yes | 24c | 1,011$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 22c | 821.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.75 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed No | 55c | 815.11$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.83 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 800$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.2 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 37c | 776.13$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.49 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…ddfdbacked Yes | 62c | 738.36$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.56 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 26c | 676.78$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.97 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 43c | 566.03$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 19c | 499.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 63c | 400$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x807d…76dcbacked No | 73c | 384.44$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.59 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 24c | 375.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.79 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…26ecbacked Yes | 25c | 350$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x026a…f9a0backed No | 69c | 345.76$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…87a4backed Yes | 40c | 335.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628c…c651backed Yes | 25c | 291.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.9 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 18c | 287.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.71 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6119…346ebacked Yes | 38c | 286.43$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcabb…bbc4backed Yes | 24c | 277.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +315.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…22f3backed Yes | 45c | 267.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes | 62c | 252.61$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa272…797abacked Yes | 38c | 237.31$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 39c | 231.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 13c | 231.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.77 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 21c | 224.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cc…b5a4backed Yes | 19c | 224.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.74 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 20c | 221.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…0dd1backed No | 79c | 203.77$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 65c | 182.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 28c | 177.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c11…de68backed Yes | 35c | 175.37$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 77c | 168.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…77c8backed Yes | 19c | 166.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…7c1dbacked Yes | 13c | 165.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.66 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c20…cb2cbacked No | 78c | 165.54$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes | 12c | 151.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.37 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…7101backed Yes | 24c | 149.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.58 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 64c | 148.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.81 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…73a1backed No | 80c | 148.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27a7…cd66backed No | 66c | 144.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 20c | 140.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 60c | 133.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.94 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 26c | 132.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6150…70c1backed No | 80c | 123.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…adcdbacked No | 80c | 123.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…dea6backed Yes | 43c | 122.07$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…d519backed Yes | 22c | 115.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +123%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 33c | 101.54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.02 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…91e5backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7f…2f05backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.69 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…4025backed Yes | 21c | 97.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +380.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…e94abacked No | 80c | 97.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…1d75backed Yes | 18c | 96.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2464…44a1backed No | 72c | 95.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.57 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…07b2backed Yes | 28c | 95.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.81 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f4…f27ebacked Yes | 49c | 95.27$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 79c | 94.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…501dbacked Yes | 55c | 87.6$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked No | 80c | 85$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.58 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed No | 78c | 83.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…2dc4backed No | 60c | 80.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0831…dce1backed Yes | 31c | 70.92$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed No | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…55b2backed Yes | 47c | 69.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…87a0backed Yes | 80c | 67.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…eaa4backed Yes | 23c | 66.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +343%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No | 62c | 65.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed No | 74c | 65.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1d…fc27backed Yes | 21c | 64.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +103.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa319…9e56backed Yes | 22c | 64.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb9…97f7backed No | 69c | 62.58$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698a…e142backed Yes | 25c | 61.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…98e3backed Yes | 45c | 60.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +131.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd918…aa30backed Yes | 23c | 56.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +331.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed No | 72c | 55.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…61eabacked Yes | 34c | 53.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 69c | 51.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ac…8daebacked No | 71c | 49.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…0d11backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 13-19?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 13-19?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 13-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.